The St. Louis Cardinals (+120) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-145) on Sunday, July 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Cardinals are 51-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 44-53 ATS.
Cardinals vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 7-8, 5.15 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Schwellenbach 3-4, 4.44 ERA
Cardinals vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Cardinals vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 games (+19.50 Units / 150% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+12.40 Units / 64% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+8.95 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 30 games (+19.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 37 games (+18.20 Units / 49% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Singles Under in 35 of his last 50 games (+16.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Under in 38 of his last 50 games (+16.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- Adam Duvall has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+15.25 Units / 49% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games (+8.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 28 away games (+7.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 37 games (+5.25 Units / 11% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 19 away games (+3.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 away games (+3.95 Units / 13% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 55 of their last 83 games (+28.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 52 games (+8.74 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+3.20 Units / 11% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 49-49 against the Run Line (-1.8 Units / -1.4% ROI).
- 51-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.85 Units / -4.86% ROI
- 46-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.1 Units / -5.7% ROI
- 47-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.45 Units / -3.24% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 44-53 against the Run Line (-9.85 Units / -8.71% ROI).
- 54-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.45 Units / -7.73% ROI
- 34-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -29.15 Units / -27.51% ROI
- 58-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.45 Units / 19.01% ROI
Braves vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Braves vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Travis D'Arnaud (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Braves vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
Braves vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Miles Mikolas (STL) | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +115 |
| Spencer Schwellenbach (ATL) | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -110 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .309 (69-for-223) against Miles Mikolas’ non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .215 — first Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has allowed an OPS of .930 (180 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .656 — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 15% (67/447) against Miles Mikolas this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .524 (66 Total Bases / 126 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .296 — first Percentile.