The St. Louis Cardinals (+115) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-135) on Friday, September 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Cardinals are 74-72 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 73-74 ATS.

Cardinals vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Cardinals starting pitcher: Erick Fedde 8-9, 3.39 ERA
• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 12-11, 4.11 ERA

Cardinals vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cardinals vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 50 games (+29.00 Units / 58% ROI)
• Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 34 games (+17.60 Units / 31% ROI)
• Pedro Pages has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 36 games (+12.05 Units / 33% ROI)
• Pedro Pages has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 34 games (+12.05 Units / 24% ROI)
• Ivan Herrera has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 21 away games (+10.80 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 15 of his last 50 games (+31.15 Units / 62% ROI)
• Daulton Varsho has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.70 Units / 38% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+14.50 Units / 21% ROI)
• Daulton Varsho has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.90 Units / 39% ROI)
• Daulton Varsho has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+12.55 Units / 50% ROI)

Cardinals Best Bets Today:

• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+7.10 Units / 31% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 6 away games (+6.30 Units / 84% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 away games (+5.85 Units / 23% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 35 games (+4.35 Units / 11% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+3.25 Units / 63% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 49 games at home (+17.90 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 44 games (+8.95 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games (+7.00 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+4.10 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 36 games (+4.05 Units / 9% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 73-73 against the Run Line (-7.85 Units / -3.96% ROI).

• 74-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.7 Units / -4.41% ROI
• 68-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.65 Units / -7.3% ROI
• 72-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.15 Units / -1.97% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 73-74 against the Run Line (-14 Units / -7.05% ROI).

• 69-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.9 Units / -8.89% ROI
• 76-66 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.4 Units / 2.12% ROI
• 66-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -18 Units / -11.18% ROI

Blue Jays vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 50% (479/964) when ahead in the count this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — third Percentile.

Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 57% (467/813) in two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 52% of Erick Fedde’s pitches (425/813) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 60% — third Percentile.

Erick Fedde has a strikeout rate of just 20% (32 SO in 162 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — second Percentile.

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .315 (29-for-92) against Jose Berrios’ elevated fastball this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .207 — fourth Percentile.

Jose Berrios has located his pitches away 57% of the time (663/1,172) when behind in the count since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Jose Berrios has walked 12 of 261 batters (5%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 87th Percentile.

Jose Berrios has located his pitches away 58% of the time (316/547) when behind in the count this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

  
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