Cardinals vs Bears Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets: NFL, Week 16
Cardinals vs Bears Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets: NFL, Week 16

The Arizona Cardinals (7-7) visit Soldier Field to take on the Chicago Bears (6-6) on Dec. 24. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EST in Chicago, IL.

The Bears are betting favorites in this Week 16 matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Cardinals vs. Bears Over/Under is 44.5 total points for the game.

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Cardinals vs. Bears Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Bears will win this Week 16 game with 66.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Cardinals will cover the spread with 55.1% confidence.


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Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Cardinals players this Week 16 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • James Conner has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • James Conner has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.60 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Kyler Murray has hit the Passing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 55% ROI)
  • James Conner has hit the Carries Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.30 Units / 40% ROI)
  • James Conner has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 89% ROI)

Best Bears Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bears players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Justin Fields has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.80 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Cole Kmet has hit the Receptions Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.95 Units / 105% ROI)
  • Darnell Mooney has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Justin Fields has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+5.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Justin Fields has hit the Passing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.55 Units / 54% ROI)

  • The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.40 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Arizona Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.65 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.60 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.60 Units / 24% ROI)

  • The Chicago Bears have scored first in 9 of their last 17 games (+2.75 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 20 games (+2.30 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 20 games (+2.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+2.05 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.85 Units / 22% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Cardinals went 7-7 (-0.6 Units / -3.92% ROI).

  • Cardinals are 3-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.8 Units / -20% ROI
  • Cardinals are 8-6 when betting the Over for +1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI
  • Cardinals are 6-8 when betting the Under for -2.8 Units / ROI

Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Bears went 6-6 (-0.5 Units / -3.25% ROI).

  • Bears are 5-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.15 Units / -14.38% ROI
  • Bears are 7-7 when betting the Over for -0.7 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Bears are 7-7 when betting the Under for -0.7 Units / -4.55% ROI

Arizona Cardinals: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears

The Cardinals are winless (0-19) when scoring less than 22 points since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .265.

The Cardinals were winless (0-4) when within 7 points at the two minute warning in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .492.

The Cardinals are winless (0-5) when losing at least one fumble this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .369.

The Cardinals are 1-7 (.125) when within 7 points at the two minute warning since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .496.

Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the Arizona Cardinals

The Bears are 1-9 (.100) vs top 10 pass defenses since the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .492.

The Bears are 1-9 (.100) when committing 1 or more turnovers this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .410.

The Bears are 1-13 (.071) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .390.

The Bears are winless (0-8) when throwing at least 1 interception this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .372.

Additional Matchup Notes for Arizona Cardinals vs. Chicago Bears

  
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