Canada vs. Lebanon Prediction, Pick & Odds: FIBA World Cup

Canada started its 2023 FIBA World Cup run in style with a convincing win over France, and the team will look to carry that forward as we make our Canada-Lebanon prediction for Sunday morning. The opening win greatly improved Canada's standing in the FIBA World Cup odds.

Expectations were higher than maybe ever before for Canadian basketball entering the 2023 FIBA World Cup. A 95-65 domination of France, a fellow second-tier tournament contender, has only elevated those hopes heading into the nation's second game.

On Sunday in Indonesia, Canada will face a Lebanon outfit that suffered a 109-70 loss to Latvia. The opening-game performances from the two teams have resulted in our best sports betting apps setting Canada as a 40.5-point favorite for Sunday's clash.

Here is our best Canada-Latvia prediction for Sunday's FIBA World Cup matchup (odds via our
best NBA betting sites; Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Canada vs. Lebanon prediction: FIBA World Cup

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Oklahoma City Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led Canada with 27 points in Friday's tournament opener against France. Canada was only a slight moneyline favorite in that game against a fellow pre-tournament favorite. The Canadians also face a four-point deficit at the end of the first quarter.

With Canada trading as a colossal 40.5-point favorite for its second game of the tournament on Sunday, I don't expect we'll see much of SGA on the floor. Canada used all 12 players on its roster, each for a minimum of 2:15 on Friday, and depth is one of the team's greatest strengths. Gilgeous-Alexander will feature heavily in the offense early in this game to help Canada build a sizable lead, but don't expect to see him on the floor much in the second half. The star player will be saved for more meaningful games later in the tournament.

This Canada-Lebanon prediction targets an inflated betting line, as everyone is expecting Canada to roll in this matchup and SGA is the best-known player on the team.

However, Canada will need Gilgeous-Alexander much more later in this tournament. Canada also helped its point differential in the event of a tiebreaker with a resounding 30-point win over its closest competition in Group H.

Without fear of Lebanon challenging for a top-two seed in the group stage, expect Canada to settle for a comfortable victory closer to the 25-35-point margin. The team will roll through its bench while looking for reliable secondary scoring options heading into the knockout round.

Canada vs. Lebanon odds

Canada vs. Lebanon odds analysis

BetMGM offers the best odds for anyone who may want to take Canada to win on the spread, with even-money odds on a line of -40.5. bet365 is posting the most appealing and lowest line for a Canadian win, with equal -110 odds on either side.

There won't be a lot of betting action on Lebanon across our best sportsbooks in the U.S., so I'd expect this line to swing further in Canada's favor come early Sunday morning. 

Canada vs. Lebanon game info

• When: Sunday, Aug. 27, 5:45 a.m. ET
• Where: Indonesia Arena, Jakarta, INA
• How to watch: Sportsnet

Canada-Lebanon pick made 08/25/2023 at 2:30 p.m. ET.

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