The California Golden Bears (6-6) visit Independence Stadium to take on the Texas Tech Red Raiders (5-7) on Dec. 16 in Shreveport, LA.
Texas Tech is a betting favorite in Week 16, with the spread sitting at -3 (-105).
The California vs. Texas Tech Over/Under is 57.5 total points.
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California vs Texas Tech Prediction, Independence Bowl
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Texas Tech will win this bowl game with 63.1% confidence.
California vs Texas Tech Spread Prediction, Independence Bowl
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas Tech will cover the spread with 55.7% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both California and Texas Tech, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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California Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- California have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 6 games (+6.15 Units / 85% ROI)
- California has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+5.55 Units / 87% ROI)
- California has hit the Moneyline in their last 3 games (+4.80 Units / 98% ROI)
- California has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+3.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- California has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 33% ROI)
Texas Tech Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Texas Tech has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- Texas Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- Texas Tech has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- Texas Tech have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 14% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for California players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best California Player Prop Bets Today
- Jaydn Ott has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.75 Units / 60% ROI)
- Fernando Mendoza has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Fernando Mendoza has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games (+2.35 Units / 112% ROI)
- Jeremiah Hunter has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Trond Grizzell has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Texas Tech players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Texas Tech Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Tahj Brooks has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Myles Price has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jerand Bradley has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- Behren Morton has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 69% ROI)
- Tyler Shough has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 37% ROI)
California Against the Spread (ATS) Record
California is 6-6 against the spread this college football season (-0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- California is 6-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 7.58% ROI
- California is 7-5 when betting the Over for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI
- California is 5-7 when betting the Under for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI
Texas Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas Tech is 5-7 against the spread this college football season (-2.7 Units / -20.38% ROI).
- Texas Tech is 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.6 Units / -32.43% ROI
- Texas Tech is 5-7 when betting the Over for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI
- Texas Tech is 7-5 when betting the Under for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI
California is winless (0-12) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .285
California is winless (0-7) when losing at least one fumble since the 2022 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .338
California is 2-12 (.143) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2022 season– 8th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .404
California is 4-13 (.235) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2021 season– 14th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .389
Texas Tech is 6-1 (.857) when not throwing an interception since the 2022 season– tied for best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .509
Texas Tech is 14-3 (.824) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2021 season– 14th-best in FBS; Average: .631
Texas Tech is 6-1 (.857) when not throwing an interception since the 2022 season– tied for 10th-best in FBS; Average: .606
Texas Tech is 9-6 (.562) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2022 season– tied for 15th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .393
Texas Tech’s TEs has 29 receptions in 12 games (just 2.4 per game) this season — fourth-worst among Big 12 TEs. California’s defense has allowed 23.4 receptions per game this season — second-worst among Pac-12 defenses.
Texas Tech’s TEs has 29 receptions in 12 games (just 2.4 per game) this season — fourth-worst among Big 12 TEs. California’s defense has allowed 23.4 receptions per game this season — fourth-worst among FBS defenses.