The California Golden Bears (3-2) visit Acrisure Stadium to take on the Pittsburgh Panthers (5-0) on Oct. 12 in Pittsburgh, PA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
Pitt is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The California vs. Pittsburgh Over/Under is 59.5 total points.
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California vs Pittsburgh Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Pittsburgh will win this game with 59.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both California and Pitt, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
California vs Pittsburgh Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Pittsburgh will cover the spread with 52.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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California Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- California has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+7.25 Units / 39% ROI)
- California have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.95 Units / 64% ROI)
- California has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+6.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- California has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+5.65 Units / 46% ROI)
- California has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
Pittsburgh Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Pittsburgh have covered the Spread in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Pittsburgh has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- Pittsburgh have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 51% ROI)
- Pittsburgh has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- Pittsburgh have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+2.00 Units / 35% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for California players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best California Player Prop Bets Today
- Jaydn Ott has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Trond Grizzell has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Fernando Mendoza has hit the Passing Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Fernando Mendoza has hit the TD Passes Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+1.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jack Endries has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Pittsburgh players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pittsburgh Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Rodney Hammond Jr. has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Konata Mumpfield has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- Gavin Bartholomew has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
California Against the Spread (ATS) Record
California is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 20.69% ROI).
- California is 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.75 Units / 22.42% ROI
- California is 0-3 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -75% ROI
- California is 3-0 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 68.18% ROI
Pittsburgh Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Pitt is 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 68.18% ROI).
- Pittsburgh is 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.1 Units / 5.47% ROI
- Pittsburgh is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 20.69% ROI
- Pittsburgh is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.25 Units / -28.09% ROI
California is winless (0-8) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .309
California is 4-10 (.286) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .423
California is 1-8 (.111) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .444
California is 5-10 (.333) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .542
Pittsburgh is 2-5 (.286) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .450
Pittsburgh is 4-9 (.308) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-14th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .503
Pittsburgh is 2-5 (.286) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– 11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .501
Pittsburgh is 6-1 (.857) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-26th-best in FBS; Average: .683
Pittsburgh’s TEs has gained 177 yards on 19 receptions (just 9.3 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among ACC TEs. California’s defense has allowed just 11.3 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-best among ACC defenses.
Pittsburgh’s WRs has gained 1,165 yards on 77 receptions (15.1 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among ACC WRs. California’s defense has allowed just 11.3 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-best among ACC defenses.