The Central Michigan Chippewas (1-1) visit Memorial Stadium to take on the Illinois Fighting Illini (2-0) on Sep. 14 in Champaign, IL. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Illinois is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -20 (-110).
The Central Michigan vs. Illinois Over/Under is 51.5 total points.
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Central Michigan vs Illinois Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Illinois will win this game with 90.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both teams, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Central Michigan vs Illinois Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Illinois will cover the spread with 73.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Central Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record
C Michigan is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Central Michigan is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.65 Units / -100% ROI
- Central Michigan is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 88.89% ROI
- Central Michigan is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.15 Units / -100% ROI
Illinois Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Illinois is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 93.02% ROI).
- Illinois is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 180% ROI
- Illinois is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- Illinois is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
Central Michigan is 3-7 (.273) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: .517
Central Michigan is 3-8 (.231) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-36th-worst in FBS; Average: .395
Central Michigan is 2-8 (.200) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-25th-worst in FBS; Average: .407
Central Michigan is 7-9 (.389) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2022 season– T-36th-worst in FBS; Average: .529
Illinois is 5-5 (.500) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .390
Illinois is 7-1 (.778) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .606
Illinois is 7-2 (.700) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 31st-best in FBS; Average: .517
Illinois is 7-3 (.700) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .566
Illinois’s TEs has 3 receptions in 2 games (just 1.5 per game) this season — worst among Big Ten TEs. Central Michigan’s defense has allowed just 11.0 receptions per game this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.