BYU vs SMU Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 2
BYU vs SMU Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 2

The BYU Cougars 1-0 visit Gerald J. Ford Stadium to take on the SMU Mustangs 2-0 on Sep. 6 in Dallas, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.

SMU is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).

The BYU vs. SMU Over/Under is 56.5 total points.

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BYU vs SMU Prediction:

The winning team model predicts SMU will win this game with 76.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

BYU vs SMU Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts SMU will cover the spread with 66.8% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both BYU and SMU and key player performances this season.


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  • BYU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.90 Units / 64% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+7.05 Units / 64% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games (+4.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)

  • SMU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.75 Units / 47% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • SMU have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 11% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for BYU players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best BYU Player Prop Bets Today

  • LJ Martin has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Chase Roberts has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Keanu Hill has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for SMU players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best SMU Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Preston Stone has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Preston Stone has hit the TD Passes Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.40 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Preston Stone has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Jaylan Knighton has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Kevin Jennings has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)

BYU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

BYU was 5-6 against the spread last college football season (-1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI).

  • BYU was 3-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.15 Units / -21.18% ROI
  • BYU was 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
  • BYU was 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI

SMU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

SMU is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.15 Units / -100% ROI).

  • SMU was 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 3.4% ROI
  • SMU was 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • SMU was 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

BYU was winless (0-5) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .502

BYU is 2-9 (.182) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2022 season– T-10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .436

BYU is 1-8 (.100) when losing at least one fumble since the 2022 season– T-10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .324

BYU is 10-3 (.769) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2022 season– 21st-best in FBS; Average: .580

SMU is winless (0-3) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2022 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .445

SMU is winless (0-3) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2022 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .364

SMU is winless (0-3) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2022 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .412

SMU is winless (0-3) when not forcing a fumble since the 2022 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .441

SMU’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 13.1% of 434 attempts last season — 23rd-best among FBS offenses. BYU’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.0% of attempts last season — 5th-best among Big 12 defenses.

SMU gained 3,409 yards on 248 receptions (13.7 YPR) last season — T-17th-best among FBS skill players. BYU’s defense allowed just 11.5 Yards Per Reception last season — 3rd-best among Big 12 defenses.

  
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