The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-2) visit Acrisure Stadium to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers (1-4) on Oct. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Pittsburgh.
The Buccaneers are betting favorites in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).
The Buccaneers vs. Steelers Over/Under is 43.5 total points for the game.
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Buccaneers vs. Steelers Prediction for Week 6
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Buccaneers will win this Week 6 game with 81.0% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Buccaneers will cover the spread this Week 6 with 55.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Buccaneers and Steelers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Buccaneers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Buccaneers players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Tom Brady has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+5.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- Leonard Fournette has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+5.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- Tom Brady has hit the Interceptions Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+5.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Mike Evans has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.70 Units / 51% ROI)
- Tom Brady has hit the TD Passes Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+2.90 Units / 9% ROI)
Best Steelers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Steelers players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Chase Claypool has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.20 Units / 39% ROI)
- Najee Harris has hit the Carries Over in his last 7 games at home (+7.05 Units / 88% ROI)
- Pat Freiermuth has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- Chase Claypool has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 45% ROI)
- Mitchell Trubisky has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 77% ROI)
Buccaneers Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+9.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have covered the 3Q Spread in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.25 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have covered the 2H Spread in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 2H Moneyline in their last 6 away games (+6.20 Units / 50% ROI)
Steelers Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+7.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.70 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games (+6.20 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.85 Units / 50% ROI)
Buccaneers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Buccaneers have gone 2-3 (-1.3 Units / -23.85% ROI).
- Buccaneers are 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.45 Units / 4.39% ROI
- Buccaneers are 1-4 when betting the Over for -3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI
- Buccaneers are 4-1 when betting the Under for +2.9 Units / ROI
Steelers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Steelers have gone 1-3 (-2.3 Units / -41.82% ROI).
- Steelers are 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.95 Units / -34.82% ROI
- Steelers are 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
- Steelers are 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers
The Buccaneers are 7-0 (1.000) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL. The Steelers have allowed an average of 143.2 rushing yards per game since the 2021 season — third-worst in NFL.
The Buccaneers were undefeated (6-0) vs top 10 pass defenses last season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .471.
The Buccaneers are 11-3 (.786) when playing in warm weather since the 2021 season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .492.
The Buccaneers are undefeated (9-0) when leading at the end of first quarter since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .690.
Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Steelers are 2-9-1 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2021 season — sixth-worst in NFL. The Buccaneers have intercepted 23 passes since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-most in NFL.
The Steelers are winless (0-4) since Week 2 — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.