The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-5) visit Mercedes-Benz Stadium to take on the Atlanta Falcons (4-8) on Dec. 10. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Atlanta, GA.
The Falcons are betting favorites in this Week 14 matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Buccaneers vs. Falcons Over/Under is 39 total points for the game.
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Buccaneers vs. Falcons Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Falcons will win this Week 14 game with 55.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Buccaneers will cover the spread with 72.1% confidence.
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Best Buccaneers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Buccaneers players this Week 14 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Chris Godwin has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.90 Units / 57% ROI)
- Rachaad White has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 61% ROI)
- Russell Gage has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.50 Units / 55% ROI)
- Rachaad White has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 79% ROI)
- Mike Evans has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.75 Units / 49% ROI)
Best Falcons Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Falcons players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Tyler Allgeier has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.55 Units / 57% ROI)
- Drake London has hit the Longest Reception Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.55 Units / 51% ROI)
- Cordarrelle Patterson has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 63% ROI)
- Cordarrelle Patterson has hit the Carries Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.75 Units / 48% ROI)
- Kyle Pitts has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+4.45 Units / 31% ROI)
Buccaneers Best Bets:
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have scored last in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 19 games (+3.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 away games (+2.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 away games (+2.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 10 away games (+1.60 Units / 15% ROI)
Falcons Best Bets:
- The Atlanta Falcons have scored last in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.95 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+6.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+6.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.30 Units / 35% ROI)
Buccaneers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Buccaneers went 7-5 (+1.65 Units / 12.69% ROI).
- Buccaneers are 5-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.95 Units / -6.69% ROI
- Buccaneers are 4-8 when betting the Over for -4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Buccaneers are 8-4 when betting the Under for +3.6 Units / ROI
Falcons Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Falcons went 4-8 (-4.75 Units / -35.85% ROI).
- Falcons are 6-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.45 Units / -9.18% ROI
- Falcons are 4-8 when betting the Over for -4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Falcons are 8-4 when betting the Under for +3.6 Units / 27.27% ROI
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Falcons
The Buccaneers are winless (0-5) when allowing 22 or more points this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .219.
The Buccaneers are winless (0-4) when intercepting no passes this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .343.
The Buccaneers are winless (0-6) when rushing less than 25 times this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .292.
The Buccaneers are winless (0-6) when trailing at the end of the third quarter this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .158.
Atlanta Falcons: Keys to the Game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Falcons are 5-2 (.714) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter this season — 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Falcons are 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 22 points this season — tied for 10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .740.
The Falcons are 2-5 (.286) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards this season — 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .403.
The Falcons are 4-1 (.800) when forcing at least one fumble this season — tied for 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .623.