The NFL's Week 1 slate continues with a marquee battle between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Dallas Cowboys at 8:20 p.m. ET on Sunday. Tampa Bay is favored by 2.5 points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 50.5 (see up-to-date'odds for every game this week on our NFL odds page). Before making any Buccaneers vs. Cowboys picks, you NEED to check out the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model..
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7, 500 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 138-97 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. Amazingly, it hasn't missed a top-rated pick since Week 15 of last season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
The model knows the Buccaneers have an elite offense. Tom Brady was the runner-up for the 2021 NFL MVP award, and he led the league in passing yards, passing touchdowns, completions, and sack rate allowed. Brady is joined by Mike Evans, the reigning league leader in touchdown receptions, and Tampa Bay also deploys an elite run defense. The model also knows that the Cowboys scored 36.4 points per game in home tilts last year, leading the league with 31.2 points per game over all. Dallas is keyed by Dak Prescott, who threw for 37 touchdowns to set a new franchise record in 2021, and the Cowboys have an impressive defense headlined by Micah Parsons.