The Cleveland Browns (8-5) visit NRG Stadium to take on the Houston Texans (7-7) on Dec. 24. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Houston, TX.
The Texans are betting favorites in this Week 16 matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Browns vs. Texans Over/Under is 42.5 total points for the game.
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Browns vs. Texans Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Texans will win this Week 16 game with 55.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Browns will cover the spread with 72.5% confidence.
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Best Browns Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Browns players this Week 16 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Amari Cooper has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.85 Units / 58% ROI)
- Amari Cooper has hit the Longest Reception Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- David Njoku has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- Harrison Bryant has hit the Receptions Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.65 Units / 67% ROI)
- David Njoku has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 35% ROI)
Best Texans Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Texans players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Davis Mills has hit the Interceptions Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.40 Units / 45% ROI)
- Dameon Pierce has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- Dameon Pierce has hit the Longest Rush Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Dameon Pierce has hit the Longest Reception Under in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+3.65 Units / 46% ROI)
- Davis Mills has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.65 Units / 36% ROI)
Browns Best Bets:
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+7.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 away games (+6.55 Units / 72% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+5.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have covered the 2Q Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.00 Units / 21% ROI)
Texans Best Bets:
- The Houston Texans have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+6.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+6.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+6.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.85 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 17 games (+3.65 Units / 19% ROI)
Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Browns went 8-5 (+2.5 Units / 16.08% ROI).
- Browns are 9-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.45 Units / 31.7% ROI
- Browns are 7-6 when betting the Over for +0.4 Units / 2.6% ROI
- Browns are 6-7 when betting the Under for -1.7 Units / ROI
Texans Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Texans went 7-7 (-0.8 Units / -5.11% ROI).
- Texans are 8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.25 Units / 23.35% ROI
- Texans are 5-9 when betting the Over for -4.9 Units / -31.82% ROI
- Texans are 9-5 when betting the Under for +3.5 Units / 22.73% ROI
Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Texans
The Browns are 6-2 (.750) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team this season — T-5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Browns are 7-1 (.875) at home this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .566.
The Browns are 9-5 (.643) this season — T-7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Browns are 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 100 rushing yards this season — 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .640.
Houston Texans: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns
The Texans are 1-10 (.091) vs top 10 pass defenses since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .492.
The Texans are 8-4 (.667) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — T-8th-best in NFL. The Browns have turned the ball over 30 times this season — most in NFL.
The Texans are winless (0-4) vs top 10 defenses this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .450.
The Texans are winless (0-8) vs top 10 defenses since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .456.