The Cleveland Browns (2-1) visit Mercedes-Benz Stadium to take on the Atlanta Falcons (1-2) on Oct. 2. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Atlanta.
The Browns are betting favorites in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Browns vs. Falcons Over/Under is 49.5 total points for the game.
Bet now on Falcons vs Browns & all NFL games with BetMGM
Browns vs. Falcons Prediction for Week 4
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Browns will win this Week 4 game with 51.7% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Falcons will cover the spread this Week 4 with 61.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Browns and Falcons, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Browns Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Browns players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Chester Rogers has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Jacoby Brissett has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.60 Units / 51% ROI)
- Nick Chubb has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- David Njoku has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 14 games (+4.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- Amari Cooper has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 7 away games (+2.55 Units / 29% ROI)
Best Falcons Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Falcons players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Anthony Firkser has hit the Receptions Under in his last 7 games (+7.20 Units / 72% ROI)
- Cordarrelle Patterson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+6.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- Bryan Edwards has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+4.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- Anthony Firkser has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 11 games (+2.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- Kyle Pitts has hit the Receptions Under in 4 of his last 7 games at home (+1.60 Units / 18% ROI)
Browns Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
- The Cleveland Browns have scored first in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have covered the 1Q Spread in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.95 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have covered the 3Q Spread in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 56% ROI)
Falcons Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+8.20 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 70% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+5.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.05 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the Team Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Browns have gone 2-1 (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Browns are 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.55 Units / -9.65% ROI
- Browns are 3-0 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Browns are 0-3 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / ROI
Falcons Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Falcons have gone 3-0 (+3 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Falcons are 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -32.79% ROI
- Falcons are 3-0 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Falcons are 0-3 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Falcons
The Browns are 5-2 (.714) vs bottom 10 pass defenses since the 2021 season — 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .545.
The Browns are 8-4 (.667) vs bottom 10 pass defenses since the 2020 season — tied for 10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .558.
Atlanta Falcons: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns
The Falcons were 2-6 (.250) vs top 10 defenses last season — tied for 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .447.
The Falcons are winless (0-4) since Week 17 of the 2021 Season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .492.