The Denver Broncos (2-1) visit Allegiant Stadium to take on the Las Vegas Raiders (0-3) on Oct. 2. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EDT in Las Vegas.
The Raiders are betting favorites in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Broncos vs. Raiders Over/Under is 45.5 total points for the game.
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Broncos vs. Raiders Prediction for Week 4
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Raiders will win this Week 4 game with 58.8% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Raiders will cover the spread this Week 4 with 54.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Broncos and Raiders, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Broncos Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Broncos players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Russell Wilson has hit the Completions Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.25 Units / 36% ROI)
- Tim Patrick has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+5.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- Albert Okwuegbunam has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- Melvin Gordon has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 11 games (+3.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- Russell Wilson has hit the Passing Yards Under in 9 of his last 14 games (+3.00 Units / 18% ROI)
Best Raiders Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Raiders players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Josh Jacobs has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.55 Units / 46% ROI)
- Derek Carr has hit the Interceptions Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- Derek Carr has hit the Passing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.75 Units / 59% ROI)
- Josh Jacobs has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 17 games (+4.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- Hunter Renfrow has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+3.80 Units / 19% ROI)
Broncos Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
- The Denver Broncos have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.70 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have scored last in their last 5 games (+5.45 Units / 88% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 13 games (+5.40 Units / 30% ROI)
Raiders Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.90 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.95 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have scored last in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.95 Units / 55% ROI)
Broncos Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Broncos have gone 1-2 (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Broncos are 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.75 Units / -8.52% ROI
- Broncos are 0-3 when betting the Over for -3.35 Units / -100% ROI
- Broncos are 3-0 when betting the Under for +3 Units / ROI
Raiders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Raiders have gone 0-3 (-3.3 Units / -100% ROI).
- Raiders are 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.7 Units / -100% ROI
- Raiders are 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Raiders are 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
Denver Broncos: Keys to the Game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders
The Broncos are 2-5 (.286) vs top 10 offenses since the 2021 season — tied for 10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .385.
The Broncos are 4-7 (.364) since Week 7 of 2021 — 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .497.
The Broncos are 1-3 (.250) since Week 17 of the 2021 Season — tied for 5th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .492.
The Broncos are 3-10 (.231) vs top 10 offenses since the 2020 season — tied for 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .378.