The Denver Broncos (6-9) visit Allegiant Stadium to take on the Las Vegas Raiders (9-6) on Jan. 7. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EST in Paradise, NV.
The Raiders are betting favorites in this Week 18 matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Broncos vs. Raiders Over/Under is 38 total points for the game.
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Broncos vs. Raiders Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Raiders will win this Week 18 game with 57.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Broncos will cover the spread with 73.1% confidence.
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Best Broncos Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Broncos players this Week 18 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Courtland Sutton has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Jerry Jeudy has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- Russell Wilson has hit the TD Passes Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jerry Jeudy has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- Russell Wilson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 41% ROI)
Best Raiders Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Raiders players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Josh Jacobs has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- Josh Jacobs has hit the Carries Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- Davante Adams has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.90 Units / 48% ROI)
- Hunter Renfrow has hit the Longest Reception Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.60 Units / 46% ROI)
- Josh Jacobs has hit the Longest Reception Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+3.45 Units / 19% ROI)
Broncos Best Bets:
- The Denver Broncos have covered the 1Q Spread in 14 of their last 18 games (+10.75 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+8.90 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+8.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.40 Units / 23% ROI)
Raiders Best Bets:
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.55 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the 3Q Spread in 10 of their last 17 games (+3.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 19 games (+2.95 Units / 13% ROI)
Broncos Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Broncos went 6-9 (-3.9 Units / -22.03% ROI).
- Broncos are 8-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.05 Units / -0.22% ROI
- Broncos are 7-9 when betting the Over for -2.9 Units / -16.48% ROI
- Broncos are 9-7 when betting the Under for +1.3 Units / ROI
Raiders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Raiders went 9-6 (+2.35 Units / 13.35% ROI).
- Raiders are 7-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.9 Units / 4.86% ROI
- Raiders are 5-11 when betting the Over for -7.1 Units / -40.34% ROI
- Raiders are 11-5 when betting the Under for +5.5 Units / 31.25% ROI
Denver Broncos: Keys to the Game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders
The Broncos are 4-2 (.667) when playing in cold weather this season — T-2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Broncos are 1-6 (.143) when not forcing a fumble this season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .421.
The Broncos are winless (0-6) when committing 2 or more turnovers this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .286.
The Broncos are winless (0-3) when allowing more than 50% of third down conversions opportunities since the 2022 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .253.
Las Vegas Raiders: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Broncos
The Raiders are 4-1 (.800) when rushing for 120 or more yards this season — 9th-best in NFL. The Broncos have allowed an average of 138.2 rushing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Raiders are winless (0-4) vs top 10 run offenses this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .406.
The Raiders are winless (0-6) vs top 10 run offenses since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .419.
The Raiders are winless (0-5) when tied at the end of quarter 1 since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.