The Denver Broncos (4-11) visit GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium to take on the Kansas City Chiefs (12-3) on Jan. 1. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Kansas City.
The Chiefs are betting favorites in Week 17, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-110).
The Broncos vs. Chiefs Over/Under is 45 total points for the game.
Bet now on Chiefs vs Broncos & all NFL games with BetMGM
Broncos vs. Chiefs Prediction for Week 17
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Chiefs will win this Week 17 game with 87.0% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Chiefs will cover the spread this Week 17 with 52.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Broncos and Chiefs, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Bet now on Chiefs vs Broncos and all NFL games with BetMGM
Get up to $1,000 Risk-Free Bet
Best Broncos Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Broncos players for Week 17, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Chase Edmonds has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 76% ROI)
- Jerry Jeudy has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- Russell Wilson has hit the TD Passes Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+5.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- Latavius Murray has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Chase Edmonds has hit the Carries Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 73% ROI)
Best Chiefs Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Chiefs players for Week 17, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Melvin Gordon has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- Jerick McKinnon has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.85 Units / 67% ROI)
- Noah Gray has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 64% ROI)
- Jerick McKinnon has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+5.80 Units / 68% ROI)
- Mecole Hardman has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.85 Units / 60% ROI)
Broncos Best Bets for Week 17:
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+9.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.65 Units / 28% ROI)
Chiefs Best Bets for Week 17:
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the Team Total Under in their last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.25 Units / 28% ROI)
Broncos Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Broncos have gone 6-9 (-4.05 Units / -24.32% ROI).
- Broncos are 4-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.75 Units / -46.54% ROI
- Broncos are 4-11 when betting the Over for -8.15 Units / -49.24% ROI
- Broncos are 11-4 when betting the Under for +6.6 Units / ROI
Chiefs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Chiefs have gone 6-9 (-4 Units / -24.1% ROI).
- Chiefs are 12-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.35 Units / 12.33% ROI
- Chiefs are 7-8 when betting the Over for -1.8 Units / -10.91% ROI
- Chiefs are 8-7 when betting the Under for +0.3 Units / 1.82% ROI
Denver Broncos: Keys to the Game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs
The Broncos are winless (0-7) on the road this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .444.
The Broncos are 3-13 (.188) when within 7 points at the two minute warning since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .493.
The Broncos are winless (0-7) when rushing less than 25 times this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .319.
The Broncos are winless (0-12) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .274.
Kansas City Chiefs: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Broncos
The Chiefs are undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .553.
The Chiefs are undefeated (6-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .607.