The Denver Broncos (2-3) visit SoFi Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Chargers (3-2) on Oct. 17. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in Inglewood.
The Chargers are betting favorites in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).
The Broncos vs. Chargers Over/Under is 45.5 total points for the game.
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Broncos vs. Chargers Prediction for Week 6
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Chargers will win this Week 6 game with 69.3% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Broncos will cover the spread this Week 6 with 53.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Broncos and Chargers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Broncos Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Broncos players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Tim Patrick has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+5.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- Latavius Murray has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Javonte Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+4.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- Courtland Sutton has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- Russell Wilson has hit the Completions Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+3.80 Units / 46% ROI)
Best Chargers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Chargers players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Gerald Everett has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+5.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- Austin Ekeler has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- Austin Ekeler has hit the Carries Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.55 Units / 52% ROI)
- Justin Herbert has hit the Interceptions Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+4.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- Sony Michel has hit the Receptions Under in his last 4 games (+4.30 Units / 65% ROI)
Broncos Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
- The Denver Broncos have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.60 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+4.95 Units / 26% ROI)
Chargers Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.60 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.55 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.55 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the 2Q Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.55 Units / 49% ROI)
Broncos Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Broncos have gone 1-4 (-3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI).
- Broncos are 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.55 Units / -30.6% ROI
- Broncos are 1-4 when betting the Over for -3.45 Units / -62.16% ROI
- Broncos are 4-1 when betting the Under for +2.9 Units / ROI
Chargers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Chargers have gone 4-1 (+2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI).
- Chargers are 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.7 Units / -7.69% ROI
- Chargers are 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
- Chargers are 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
Denver Broncos: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers
The Broncos are winless (0-3) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .471.
The Broncos are winless (0-8) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .274.
The Broncos are 1-3 (.250) since Week 2 — tied for 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Broncos are 5-10 (.333) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2021 season — tied for 8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .416.