The Milwaukee Brewers (+135) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-160) on Sunday, July 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Brewers are 56-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 46-51 ATS.
Brewers vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Aaron Civale 2-7, 4.95 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Joe Ryan 6-6, 3.53 ERA
Brewers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Brewers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brice Turang has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 14 away games (+19.00 Units / 136% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 away games (+13.35 Units / 38% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+12.50 Units / 60% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+11.20 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 24 games (+15.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+11.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- Edouard Julien has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 23 games (+11.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 35 games (+11.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Edouard Julien has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 23 games (+9.95 Units / 41% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 58 of their last 98 games (+12.85 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 52 of their last 94 games (+11.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 98 games (+9.30 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 70 games (+6.65 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 55 of their last 98 games (+5.19 Units / 4% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 41 games at home (+9.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 21 games (+7.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 47 of their last 77 games (+7.60 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.25 Units / 34% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 51-47 against the Run Line (+1.4 Units / 1.09% ROI).
- 56-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.3 Units / 7.49% ROI
- 53-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.75 Units / 9.11% ROI
- 40-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.4 Units / -16.94% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 46-51 against the Run Line (-5.75 Units / -4.71% ROI).
- 54-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.35 Units / -0.99% ROI
- 48-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.25 Units / -1.19% ROI
- 45-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.95 Units / -7.51% ROI
Twins vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Twins vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Willi Castro (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Twins vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Twins vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Civale (MIL) | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 +100 |
| Joe Ryan (MIN) | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 -105 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (101/295) against Aaron Civale this season — tied for 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 10th Percentile.
Aaron Civale has allowed an OPS of .849 (171 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .656 — fifth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .247 (40-for-162) against Aaron Civale’s non-fastballs this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .215 — 15th Percentile.
Aaron Civale has struck out 29% (56/196) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 88th Percentile.