Brewers vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 4
Brewers vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 4

The Milwaukee Brewers (-145) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+120) on Thursday, July 4, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Denver, CO.

This season, the Brewers are 52-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 41-45 ATS.

Brewers vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Brewers starting pitcher: Tobias Myers 5-2, 3.28 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill 6-6, 3.81 ERA

Brewers vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Brewers vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 61.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Brice Turang has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 14 away games (+19.00 Units / 136% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 away games (+13.35 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+12.50 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.95 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Brice Turang has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+11.20 Units / 54% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+14.10 Units / 235% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 43 games (+12.05 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Cal Quantrill has hit the Earned Runs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.30 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 30 games (+9.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.00 Units / 28% ROI)

  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 87 games (+14.85 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 51 of their last 87 games (+10.50 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 83 games (+9.20 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 59 games (+7.50 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 50 of their last 87 games (+6.94 Units / 6% ROI)

  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 games (+13.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 56 games (+5.30 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 50 games (+4.80 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 44 games (+4.20 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 51 games (+3.60 Units / 6% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 46-41 against the Run Line (+2.25 Units / 1.95% ROI).

  • 52-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.85 Units / 13.64% ROI
  • 46-36 when betting on the total runs Over for +7 Units / 7.36% ROI
  • 36-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.6 Units / -15.17% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 41-45 against the Run Line (-13.75 Units / -12.9% ROI).

  • 29-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.1 Units / -11.79% ROI
  • 43-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.1 Units / -2.25% ROI
  • 41-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.4 Units / -6.83% ROI

Rockies vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Rhys Hoskins (MIL) 0.5 +325 0.5 -450
Willy Adames (MIL) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Michael Toglia (COL) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Ryan McMahon (COL) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650

Rockies vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Sal Frelick (MIL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Brenton Doyle (COL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Ryan McMahon (COL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Garrett Mitchell (MIL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Michael Toglia (COL) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160

Rockies vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Willy Adames (MIL) 0.5 -125 0.5 -105
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 -115 0.5 -115
Rhys Hoskins (MIL) 0.5 +100 0.5 -135
Christian Yelich (MIL) 0.5 +105 0.5 -135
Elias Diaz (COL) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165

Rockies vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tobias Myers (MIL) 4.5 -120 4.5 -110
Cal Quantrill (COL) 4.5 +105 4.5 -135

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 20% (3/15) against Tobias Myers — 3rd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.

Tobias Myers has a first-pitch strike rate of 74% (35/47) over the last 14 days — 3rd highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 63% — 95th Percentile.

Tobias Myers has a first-pitch strike rate of 74% (35/47) — tied for 5th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 64% — 95th Percentile.

Tobias Myers has a strike rate of 71% (114/160) — tied for 9th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 66% — 92nd Percentile.

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Cal Quantrill has allowed a slugging percentage of .698 (30 Total Bases / 43 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .359 — third Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has located his pitches away 65% of the time (525/807) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has allowed three-ball counts to 30% of batters they faced (119/396 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP; League Avg: 21% — first Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has located his pitches away 65% of the time (525/807) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

  
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