The Milwaukee Brewers (-120) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+100) on Saturday, August 31, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Brewers are 79-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 74-62 ATS.

Brewers vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

• Brewers starting pitcher: Frankie Montas 6-9, 4.64 ERA
• Reds starting pitcher: Fernando Cruz 3-8, 5.12 ERA

Brewers vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Brewers vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 55.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+17.65 Units / 30% ROI)
• Jackson Chourio has hit the Runs Over in 30 of his last 50 games (+17.30 Units / 33% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 43 games (+15.45 Units / 33% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 25 games (+12.40 Units / 50% ROI)
• Brice Turang has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 30 games (+12.05 Units / 21% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+18.75 Units / 39% ROI)
• Rece Hinds has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games at home (+16.20 Units / 231% ROI)
• Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+15.05 Units / 40% ROI)
• Jonathan India has hit the Singles Under in 32 of his last 50 games (+12.55 Units / 22% ROI)
• Amed Rosario has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 29 games (+11.95 Units / 22% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 71 of their last 131 games (+15.75 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 79 of their last 135 games (+15.55 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 59 of their last 107 games (+11.50 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 76 of their last 135 games (+11.25 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+6.35 Units / 32% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 55 games at home (+14.75 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 41 of their last 67 games at home (+9.90 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games (+9.45 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 66 of their last 118 games (+9.30 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 45 games at home (+0.80 Units / 2% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 72-63 against the Run Line (+6.25 Units / 3.5% ROI).

• 79-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.55 Units / 9.16% ROI
• 72-54 when betting on the total runs Over for +13.55 Units / 9.2% ROI
• 54-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -25.5 Units / -17.04% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 74-62 against the Run Line (+5.45 Units / 3.03% ROI).

• 64-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.5 Units / -7.06% ROI
• 64-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.3 Units / -4.86% ROI
• 64-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.75 Units / -4.53% ROI

Reds vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed batters are hitting just .145 (8-for-55) against Frankie Montas this month (5 games) — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 94th Percentile.

Frankie Montas has allowed an OBP of just .111 (27 PA’s) against right-handed batters in his last two starts — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .291 — 100th Percentile.

Frankie Montas has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 52% (318/607) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.

Frankie Montas has allowed an OPS of just .349 (45 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (5 games) — 3rd best among among NL Starters; League Avg: .702 — 95th Percentile.

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 44% (72/164) against Fernando Cruz this season — best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 44% (104/235) against Fernando Cruz this season — best among NL Relievers; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.

Fernando Cruz has a strikeout rate of 66% (120 SO in 183 PAs) on low non-fastballs since last season — best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 37% — 100th Percentile.

Fernando Cruz has allowed a just .263 SLG vs right-handed batters (10th best)– 91st Percentile and .568 vs left-handed batters this season (second worst among qualified RPs)– first Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

  
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