The Milwaukee Brewers (+125) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-150) on Tuesday, April 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Brewers are 6-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 5-5 ATS.

Brewers vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

• Brewers starting pitcher: Joe Ross 0-0, 0.00 ERA
• Reds starting pitcher: Frankie Montas 2-0, 0.79 ERA

Brewers vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Brewers vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 55.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Sal Frelick has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 19 away games (+8.30 Units / 21% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+8.15 Units / 30% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 14 away games (+7.75 Units / 51% ROI)
• Jackson Chourio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.40 Units / 71% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 100% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Noelvi Marte has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.00 Units / 50% ROI)
• Noelvi Marte has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 72% ROI)
• Kevin Newman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+9.85 Units / 64% ROI)
• Kevin Newman has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+8.70 Units / 35% ROI)
• Kevin Newman has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 13 games at home (+8.25 Units / 33% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 61 away games (+6.55 Units / 10% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 92 of their last 155 games (+18.55 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 75 of their last 140 games (+17.50 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 38 games at home (+17.15 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 41 of their last 76 games at home (+5.48 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.97 Units / 33% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 5-4 against the Run Line (+0.8 Units / 6.08% ROI).

• 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.9 Units / 28.16% ROI
• 5-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.75 Units / 7.69% ROI
• 4-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.55 Units / -15.27% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 5-5 against the Run Line (-0.3 Units / -2.33% ROI).

• 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 14.29% ROI
• 7-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.65 Units / 33.33% ROI
• 3-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.8 Units / -43.44% ROI

Reds vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Joe Ross has walked 5 of 18 batters (28%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.

Joe Ross has a strike rate of just 52% (38/73) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 36% of Joe Ross’ pitches (26/73) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 47% — first Percentile.

Joe Ross has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 42% (5/12) of opposing batters this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Frankie Montas has a strike rate of 86% (30/35) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 70% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 37% (7/19) against Frankie Montas on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 88th Percentile.

Frankie Montas has a strike rate of 86% (30/35) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 69% — 99th Percentile.

67% of Frankie Montas’ strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 98th Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

  
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