The Milwaukee Brewers (-110) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-110) on Monday, April 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Brewers are 6-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 4-5 ATS.

Brewers vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

• Brewers starting pitcher: Aaron Ashby 0-0, 0.00 ERA
• Reds starting pitcher: Graham Ashcraft 0-1, 3.00 ERA

Brewers vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Brewers vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Sal Frelick has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 18 away games (+7.30 Units / 20% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 19 away games (+7.15 Units / 27% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 13 away games (+6.75 Units / 48% ROI)
• Jackson Chourio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.40 Units / 70% ROI)
• Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+5.95 Units / 21% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Noelvi Marte has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.00 Units / 50% ROI)
• Noelvi Marte has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 72% ROI)
• Kevin Newman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+9.85 Units / 64% ROI)
• Elly De La Cruz has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+9.50 Units / 26% ROI)
• Graham Ashcraft has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.35 Units / 59% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 61 away games (+6.55 Units / 10% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 93 of their last 156 games (+19.55 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 75 of their last 140 games (+17.50 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 38 games at home (+17.15 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 41 of their last 76 games at home (+5.48 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.97 Units / 33% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 5-3 against the Run Line (+1.8 Units / 14.81% ROI).

• 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 43.48% ROI
• 4-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.25 Units / -2.86% ROI
• 4-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.35 Units / -3.91% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 4-5 against the Run Line (-1.3 Units / -11.61% ROI).

• 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 6.96% ROI
• 6-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.65 Units / 26.63% ROI
• 3-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.6 Units / -36.55% ROI

Reds vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Aaron Ashby threw breaking pitches 42% of the time (787/1,878) in 2022 — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 81 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 84th Percentile.

Aaron Ashby threw his slider 30% of the time (556/1,878) in 2022 — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 81 total SL; League Avg: 26% — 76th Percentile.

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Graham Ashcraft has an ERA of 7.33 (89.2 IP) against division opponents since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: 3.96 — 0 Percentile.

Graham Ashcraft has an average spin rate of 2782.1 RPM on sliders since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: 2401.5 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents batted .325 (37-for-114) against Graham Ashcraft’s elevated fastballs in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .229 — third Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (44/141) against Graham Ashcraft on non-fastballs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 46% — first Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

  
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