The Milwaukee Brewers (+125) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-150) on Saturday, May 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.

This season, the Brewers are 29-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 24-27 ATS.

Brewers vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

• Brewers starting pitcher: Colin Rea 3-2, 4.07 ERA
• Red Sox starting pitcher: Nick Pivetta 2-2, 3.04 ERA

Brewers vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Brewers vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 55.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Sal Frelick has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+22.00 Units / 367% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 45 games (+18.10 Units / 31% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 24 of his last 50 games (+15.40 Units / 31% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 46 games (+13.00 Units / 15% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 44 games (+11.95 Units / 26% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Rafael Devers has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+18.05 Units / 201% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 39 games (+13.60 Units / 33% ROI)
• Vaughn Grissom has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.60 Units / 48% ROI)
• Dominic Smith has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.40 Units / 32% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+10.35 Units / 18% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+9.94 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+8.85 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 46 games (+8.40 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games (+7.75 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 games (+5.95 Units / 10% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 38 games (+11.85 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 51 games (+7.30 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.00 Units / 48% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 51 games (+4.65 Units / 8% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 26-24 against the Run Line (-1.3 Units / -1.89% ROI).

• 29-21 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.75 Units / 13.2% ROI
• 29-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.2 Units / 11.29% ROI
• 21-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.7 Units / -19.42% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 24-27 against the Run Line (-7.3 Units / -10.38% ROI).

• 26-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.8 Units / -1.33% ROI
• 19-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.35 Units / -24.05% ROI
• 30-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.1 Units / 16.04% ROI

Red Sox vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .351 (26-for-74) against Colin Rea when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 — second Percentile.

Colin Rea has allowed an OPS of 1.029 (81 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .671 — second Percentile.

Colin Rea has allowed an OBP of .407 (81 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — second Percentile.

Colin Rea has allowed a slugging percentage of .622 (46 Total Bases / 74 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .380 — third Percentile.

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Nick Pivetta has induced opposing hitters to ground into 2 double plays in 7 opportunities (29%) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.

Nick Pivetta has a strikeout rate of 44% (8 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — best in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.

Nick Pivetta has allowed an OBP of just .037 (27 PA’s) with two-strikes — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .228 — 100th Percentile.

Nick Pivetta has not walked any of the 39 batters that he has faced — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

  
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