The Milwaukee Brewers (+110) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-135) on Friday, May 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.

This season, the Brewers are 28-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 24-26 ATS.

Brewers vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

• Brewers starting pitcher: Bryse Wilson 2-1, 2.82 ERA
• Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford 2-2, 2.17 ERA

Brewers vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Brewers vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Sal Frelick has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+23.00 Units / 460% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 32 of his last 44 games (+16.90 Units / 29% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 23 of his last 49 games (+14.05 Units / 29% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 45 games (+11.30 Units / 13% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 43 games (+10.95 Units / 24% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Rafael Devers has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+19.05 Units / 238% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 38 games (+14.60 Units / 36% ROI)
• Dominic Smith has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.90 Units / 38% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+11.35 Units / 20% ROI)
• Vaughn Grissom has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.60 Units / 47% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.50 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 49 games (+8.94 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 49 games (+7.85 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 49 games (+6.60 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 49 games (+4.75 Units / 8% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 37 games (+10.85 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 games (+8.85 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.85 Units / 49% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 47 games (+6.00 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games (+5.80 Units / 10% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 25-24 against the Run Line (-2.3 Units / -3.43% ROI).

• 28-21 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.6 Units / 11.44% ROI
• 29-20 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.3 Units / 13.57% ROI
• 20-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.7 Units / -21.67% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 24-26 against the Run Line (-6.3 Units / -9.08% ROI).

• 26-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.55 Units / 0.93% ROI
• 19-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.25 Units / -22.52% ROI
• 29-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.1 Units / 14.56% ROI

Red Sox vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (39/218) against Bryse Wilson with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 28% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% (163/834) against Bryse Wilson since last season — 3rd lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 28% — third Percentile.

Bryse Wilson has allowed an OBP of just .246 (276 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .305 — 97th Percentile.

Bryse Wilson has allowed an OBP of just .236 (110 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — 4th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .329 — 96th Percentile.

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kutter Crawford has allowed a slugging percentage of just .257 (27 Total Bases / 105 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .392 — 93rd Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 28% (21/76) against Kutter Crawford this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — fifth Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 32% (27/84) against Kutter Crawford on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 88th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .200 (5-for-25) against Kutter Crawford on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .320 — 92nd Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

  
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