The Milwaukee Brewers (-145) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (+120) on Sunday, July 31, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Boston.
The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Brewers vs Red Sox Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Brewers are 57-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 52-50 ATS.
Brewers vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Brewers vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Sunday‘s matchup with 68.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Red Sox vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Bobby Dalbec | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -550 |
| Christian Arroyo | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Christian Vazquez | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| J.D. Martinez | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -600 |
Red Sox vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Dalbec | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Christian Arroyo | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| J.D. Martinez | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -250 |
| Xander Bogaerts | 0.5 -300 | 0.5 +195 |
| Andrew McCutchen | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -250 |
Red Sox vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Bobby Dalbec | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Christian Arroyo | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christian Vazquez | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| J.D. Martinez | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -185 |
Red Sox vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Winckowski | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +100 |
| Aaron Ashby | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -120 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Brewers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Red Sox: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 44-57 against the Run Line (-16.25 Units / -13.26% ROI).
- 57-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.2 Units / -3.92% ROI
- 51-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.8 Units / 1.61% ROI
- 45-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.35 Units / -9.31% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 52-50 against the Run Line (+1.75 Units / 1.38% ROI).
- 50-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.55 Units / -6.72% ROI
- 46-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.75 Units / -4.24% ROI
- 47-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.15 Units / -2.79% ROI
Aaron Ashby: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 68% (15/22) against Aaron Ashby — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 37% — 0 Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 57% of Aaron Ashby’s pitches in the zone (388/681) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 67% — 0 Percentile.
Aaron Ashby has a strike rate of 74% (98/133) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 75% (12/16) against Aaron Ashby against right-handed batters — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 39% — first Percentile.
Joshua Winckowski: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 12% (19/155) against Josh Winckowski this month (4 games) — tied for 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.
Josh Winckowski has allowed at least one HR in each of his last three games dating back to July 7th — the longest active streak is 5.
Josh Winckowski has allowed an OPS of .707 (46 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .506 — 10th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 21% (37/172) against Josh Winckowski this month (4 games) — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 30% — third Percentile.