The Milwaukee Brewers (-200) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+170) on Wednesday, August 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Pittsburgh.

The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-125).

The Brewers vs Pirates Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Brewers are 57-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 53-50 ATS.

Brewers vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Brewers vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 62.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Jace Peterson has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 17 away games (+12.35 Units / 47% ROI)
• Jace Peterson has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 away games (+12.05 Units / 45% ROI)
• Christian Yelich has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 22 away games (+10.80 Units / 38% ROI)
• Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+10.05 Units / 63% ROI)
• Kolten Wong has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 24 games (+9.95 Units / 26% ROI)

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Total Bases Under in 31 of his last 42 games at home (+15.20 Units / 22% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 32 games at home (+13.60 Units / 27% ROI)
• Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 36 games at home (+13.00 Units / 24% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 30 games at home (+10.60 Units / 24% ROI)
• Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+10.10 Units / 32% ROI)

Pirates vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Brewers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 48 of their last 83 games (+14.45 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 83 games (+9.50 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 42 games (+8.00 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 37 away games (+1.85 Units / 4% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+0.75 Units / 4% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Pirates: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 39 games (+11.10 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 94 games (+9.30 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+9.15 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+6.50 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 19 games at home (+2.65 Units / 13% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 44-59 against the Run Line (-18.9 Units / -15.1% ROI).

• 57-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.45 Units / -6.44% ROI
• 52-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.7 Units / 1.49% ROI
• 46-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.4 Units / -9.18% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 53-50 against the Run Line (-3.85 Units / -2.95% ROI).

• 41-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.25 Units / -3.03% ROI
• 43-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.8 Units / -13.98% ROI
• 54-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.8 Units / 5.96% ROI

Freddy Peralta: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .091 (36-for-395) against Freddy Peralta with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: .167 — 100th Percentile.

Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 46% (97 SO in 211 PAs) versus the bottom of the order since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting just .157 (53-for-337) against Freddy Peralta since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: .237 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .098 (36-for-369) against Freddy Peralta when ahead in the count since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: .188 — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Beede: Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tyler Beede has a strikeout rate of just 14% (24 SO in 177 PAs) this season — 8th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 8% (12/153) against Tyler Beede on fastballs this season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 0 Percentile.

Tyler Beede has struck out just 15% (13/84) of left-handed batters he faced this season — tied for 9th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 10th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (8/53) against Tyler Beede on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — fourth Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

  
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