Brewers vs Phillies Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for July 20 (Expect Another Close-Fought Clash)

The Milwaukee Brewers (53-43) and Philadelphia Phillies (52-43) will decide a winner of their three-game series Thursday afternoon.

1. Brewers vs Phillies Game Info
2. Brewers vs Phillies Odds & Spread
3. Brewers vs Phillies Betting Trends
4. Brewers vs Phillies Prediction & Pick
5. Brewers vs Phillies Best Bet

Brewers vs Phillies Game Info

• Date:'Thursday, July 20, 2023
• Time:'12:35 p.m. ET
• Venue:'Citizens Bank Park — Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• Coverage:'NBC Sports Philadelphia, B ally Sports Wisconsin

After losing to the Phillies on Tuesday, the Brewer got some revenge with last night's 5-3 victory. Milwaukee catcher William Contreras brought in the go-ahead run with a double in the seventh inning while closer Devin Williams struck out two batters in the ninth for his 24th save of the year.

Brewers vs Phillies Odds & Spread

• Moneyline:'MIL: (-108) | PHI: (-108)
• Spread:'MIL: -1.5 (+160) | PHI: -1.5 (-194)
• Total:'8.5 – – Over: (-118) | Under: (-104)

The moneyline is a pick 'em situation while the Brewers are favored on the spread, per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 12:35 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 8.5 runs with the Over being favored at -118 odds.

Brewers vs Phillies Betting Trends

• Milwaukee is 5-1 straight up (SU) in its last six games.
• Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last seven games against the NL Central.
• The total has hit the Under in each of Milwaukee's last five road games.
• The total has hit the Under in five of Philadelphia's last six home games against Milwaukee.

Brewers vs Phillies Prediction & Pick

The Brewers are counting on starting pitcher Corbin Burnes to continue being a rock on the mound. The former NL Cy Young winner had a slow start to the year but is now 3-0 with a 1.89 ERA in his last three starts, including 26 strikeouts over 19 innings.

Nevertheless, the Phillies have also been receiving great play from SP Taijuan Walker. The 30-year-old veteran hasn't lost an appearance since June 1, going 7-0 with a 1.84 ERA in his last seven games. Furthermore, Walker only allowed one or zero run s in five of those contests.

In this pick 'em situation, I'm going with the Brewers winning. Not only do they have momentum from yesterday, but they're also 26-23 against the spread (ATS) on the road, whereas the Phillies are 14-30 ATS at Citizens Bank Park this season. Walker will keep his team in the game, but it won't be enough as Milwaukee sneaks away with the win.

Final Score Prediction:'Brewers: 3 | Phillies: 2

Brewers vs Phillies Best Bet

For the best bet, I'm taking the Under on Corbin Burnes' 6.5-strikeout total. Even though the talented hurler is coming off a season-high 13 strikeouts in his last start, that seems to be an anomaly. After all, Burnes has finished with the Under on this prop in three of his last five games, as well as in six of his previous nine starts at Truist Park this season.

Additionally, the Brewers only struck out an average of 6.7 times over their previous six games. Burnes has what it takes to have another strong showing, but don't count on him piling up the strikeouts today.

  
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