Brewers vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun. 23
Brewers vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun. 23

The Milwaukee Brewers (+115) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-135) on Sunday, June 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Brewers are 44-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 41-40 ATS.

Brewers vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Brewers starting pitcher: Tobias Myers 4-2, 3.28 ERA
  • Padres starting pitcher: Michael King 5-4, 3.51 ERA

Brewers vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Brewers vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • player high – away 

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • player  high – home

  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 77 games (+9.35 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 73 games (+8.60 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 44 of their last 77 games (+7.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 44 of their last 77 games (+5.19 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 41 games (+4.50 Units / 9% ROI)

  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+8.80 Units / 81% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+6.95 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 49 games (+6.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.20 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.90 Units / 42% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 39-38 against the Run Line (-2.6 Units / -2.53% ROI).

  • 44-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.35 Units / 9.82% ROI
  • 41-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.4 Units / 7.61% ROI
  • 32-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.15 Units / -15.43% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 41-40 against the Run Line (+3.65 Units / 3.68% ROI).

  • 41-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.2 Units / -6.81% ROI
  • 41-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.6 Units / -1.8% ROI
  • 39-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.25 Units / -6.97% ROI

Padres vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Manny Machado (SD) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Willy Adames (MIL) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Rhys Hoskins (MIL) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Christian Yelich (MIL) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900

Padres vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Brice Turang (MIL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Jake Cronenworth (SD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Jackson Merrill (SD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Christian Yelich (MIL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190

Padres vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Willy Adames (MIL) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Manny Machado (SD) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Jake Cronenworth (SD) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Christian Yelich (MIL) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

Padres vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Michael King (SD) 5.5 -130 5.5 +100
Tobias Myers (MIL) 3.5 +115 3.5 -155

Opponents are hitting just .123 (8-for-65) against Tobias Myers this month (3 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .250 — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .122 (5-for-41) against Tobias Myers this month (3 games) — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .244 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .103 (4-for-39) against Tobias Myers’ elevated fastball this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: .216 — 100th Percentile.

Tobias Myers has allowed an OPS of just .382 (71 PA’s) this month (3 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .728 — 100th Percentile.

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Michael King has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 82.4 MPH on non-fastballs since the 2022 season (254 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: 87.1

Opponents are hitting just .131 (8-for-61) against Michael King with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — 97th Percentile.

Michael King has walked 14 of 143 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — eighth Percentile.

Michael King has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 85.7 MPH (187 batted balls) this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.9 — 98th Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

  
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