Brewers vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun. 22
Brewers vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun. 22

The Milwaukee Brewers (-105) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-115) on Saturday, June 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Brewers are 44-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 40-40 ATS.

Brewers vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Brewers starting pitcher: Carlos Rodriguez 0-2, 6.49 ERA
  • Padres starting pitcher: Randy Vasquez 1-4, 5.74 ERA

Brewers vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Brewers vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Willy Adames has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 21 away games (+14.05 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 21 away games (+11.10 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Joseph Ortiz has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 16 away games (+9.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • William Contreras has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+9.10 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+9.00 Units / 19% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 9 games (+34.90 Units / 388% ROI)
  • Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Over in 39 of his last 50 games (+18.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 40 games (+14.80 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Jackson Merrill has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+13.05 Units / 100% ROI)
  • Kyle Higashioka has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+12.50 Units / 22% ROI)

  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 76 games (+10.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 44 of their last 76 games (+8.00 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 72 games (+7.60 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 44 of their last 76 games (+6.19 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games (+5.60 Units / 12% ROI)

  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+7.80 Units / 84% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+5.95 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 48 games (+5.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.20 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.90 Units / 38% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 39-37 against the Run Line (-1.6 Units / -1.57% ROI).

  • 44-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.55 Units / 11.22% ROI
  • 40-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.4 Units / 6.5% ROI
  • 32-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.05 Units / -14.32% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 40-40 against the Run Line (+2.65 Units / 2.72% ROI).

  • 40-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.2 Units / -7.83% ROI
  • 40-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.6 Units / -2.97% ROI
  • 39-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.15 Units / -5.82% ROI

Padres vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 +375 0.5 -550
Willy Adames (MIL) 0.5 +375 0.5 -550
Rhys Hoskins (MIL) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Manny Machado (SD) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650

Padres vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Manny Machado (SD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Jake Cronenworth (SD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Jackson Merrill (SD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Willy Adames (MIL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Sal Frelick (MIL) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Padres vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 +120 0.5 -155
Willy Adames (MIL) 0.5 +120 0.5 -155
Christian Yelich (MIL) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Rhys Hoskins (MIL) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Manny Machado (SD) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200

Opponents are hitting .371 (13-for-35) against Carlos Rodriguez this month (2 games) — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .254 — third Percentile.

Carlos Rodriguez has allowed an OBP of .410 (39 PA’s) this month (2 games) — tied for 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .317 — seventh Percentile.

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .350 (63-for-180) against Randy Vasquez this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: .242 — 0 Percentile.

Randy Vasquez has allowed an OPS of 1.357 (36 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .660 — first Percentile.

Randy Vasquez has allowed a slugging percentage of .871 (27 Total Bases / 31 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .367 — second Percentile.

Randy Vasquez has allowed a slugging percentage of .871 (27 Total Bases / 31 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .394 — first Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

  
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