The Milwaukee Brewers (+125) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-155) on Friday, June 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Brewers are 44-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 39-40 ATS.

Brewers vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

• Brewers starting pitcher: Colin Rea 6-2, 3.29 ERA
• Padres starting pitcher: Dylan Cease 6-6, 3.95 ERA

Brewers vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Brewers vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Friday‘s MLB game with 53.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Willy Adames has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+13.05 Units / 44% ROI)
• Willy Adames has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+12.35 Units / 53% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+9.25 Units / 22% ROI)
• Willy Adames has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+9.05 Units / 90% ROI)
• Rhys Hoskins has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.60 Units / 45% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 8 games (+35.90 Units / 449% ROI)
• Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Over in 39 of his last 50 games (+18.40 Units / 18% ROI)
• Jake Cronenworth has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 39 games (+16.25 Units / 25% ROI)
• Jurickson Profar has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+14.05 Units / 25% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+12.80 Units / 26% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 75 games (+11.55 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 43 of their last 75 games (+7.00 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 71 games (+6.60 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 47 games (+5.25 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 43 of their last 75 games (+5.19 Units / 6% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.65 Units / 80% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.10 Units / 56% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+4.95 Units / 26% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.65 Units / 39% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games at home (+4.65 Units / 11% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 39-36 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

• 44-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.55 Units / 12.42% ROI
• 39-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.4 Units / 5.37% ROI
• 32-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.95 Units / -13.18% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 39-40 against the Run Line (+1.3 Units / 1.35% ROI).

• 39-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.2 Units / -8.92% ROI
• 39-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.6 Units / -4.16% ROI
• 39-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.05 Units / -4.63% ROI

Padres vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Colin Rea has allowed an OPS of .918 (126 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .675 — fourth Percentile.

Colin Rea has allowed a slugging percentage of .569 (66 Total Bases / 116 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .381 — second Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 19% (48/253) against Colin Rea this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — seventh Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (20/107) against Colin Rea on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — eighth Percentile.

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Dylan Cease has thrown breaking pitches 55% of the time (4,334/7,866) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Dylan Cease has thrown breaking pitches 61% of the time (2,465/4,063) against right-handed batters since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .199 (126-for-632) against Dylan Cease when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 96th Percentile.

Dylan Cease has thrown his slider 54% of the time (128/236) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

  
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