The Milwaukee Brewers (+145) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-175) on Sunday, April 16, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in San Diego.

The Padres are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).

The Brewers vs Padres Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

This season, the Brewers are 10-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 8-8 ATS.

Brewers vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Brewers vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

• William Contreras has hit the Singles Over in his last 8 games (+8.40 Units / 99% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 50% ROI)
• Brian Anderson has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 13 games (+7.30 Units / 56% ROI)
• Mike Brosseau has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 72% ROI)
• Mike Brosseau has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 71% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 17 games (+15.45 Units / 42% ROI)
• Xander Bogaerts has hit the Singles Over in his last 9 games (+9.10 Units / 86% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+7.85 Units / 28% ROI)
• Juan Soto has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 16 games (+7.45 Units / 46% ROI)
• Trent Grisham has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 70% ROI)

Padres vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+7.20 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.15 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+4.05 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.30 Units / 92% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.45 Units / 24% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 57% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 54% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.35 Units / 20% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 54% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games (+2.50 Units / 14% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 9-6 against the Run Line (+3.15 Units / 16.62% ROI).

• 10-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.8 Units / 33.14% ROI
• 7-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -2 Units / -11.98% ROI
• 8-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.3 Units / 1.84% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 8-8 against the Run Line (-1.3 Units / -6.03% ROI).

• 8-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.4 Units / -14.53% ROI
• 8-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.05 Units / -5.85% ROI
• 8-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.75 Units / -4.34% ROI

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Wade Miley has located his fastball inside 64% of the time (25/39) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.

Wade Miley has located his fastball inside 58% of the time (345/592) since the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 99th Percentile.

Wade Miley has located his fastball inside 56% of the time (330/592) since the 2020 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Wade Miley has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (406/896) on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Yu Darvish has allowed an OPS of just .384 (462 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .462 — 91st Percentile.

Yu Darvish has allowed an OBP of just .188 (462 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .220 — 91st Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .158 (70-for-444) against Yu Darvish’s fastball since the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: .263 — 100th Percentile.

  
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