The Milwaukee Brewers (+145) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-175) on Sunday, April 16, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in San Diego.
The Padres are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Brewers vs Padres Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Brewers are 10-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 8-8 ATS.
Brewers vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Brewers vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- William Contreras has hit the Singles Over in his last 8 games (+8.40 Units / 99% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Brian Anderson has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 13 games (+7.30 Units / 56% ROI)
- Mike Brosseau has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 72% ROI)
- Mike Brosseau has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 71% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 17 games (+15.45 Units / 42% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Singles Over in his last 9 games (+9.10 Units / 86% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+7.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 16 games (+7.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- Trent Grisham has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 70% ROI)
Padres vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jesse Winker | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Christian Yelich | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
William Contreras | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Brian Anderson | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
Padres vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jesse Winker | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
Christian Yelich | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +110 |
William Contreras | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
Brian Anderson | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
Padres vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jesse Winker | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
Christian Yelich | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
William Contreras | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
Brian Anderson | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -450 |
Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Padres vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Yu Darvish | 7.5 +105 | 7.5 -140 |
Wade Miley | 3.5 +115 | 3.5 -150 |
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+7.20 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+4.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.30 Units / 92% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.45 Units / 24% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 54% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games (+2.50 Units / 14% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 9-6 against the Run Line (+3.15 Units / 16.62% ROI).
- 10-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.8 Units / 33.14% ROI
- 7-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -2 Units / -11.98% ROI
- 8-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.3 Units / 1.84% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 8-8 against the Run Line (-1.3 Units / -6.03% ROI).
- 8-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.4 Units / -14.53% ROI
- 8-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.05 Units / -5.85% ROI
- 8-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.75 Units / -4.34% ROI
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Wade Miley has located his fastball inside 64% of the time (25/39) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.
Wade Miley has located his fastball inside 58% of the time (345/592) since the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 99th Percentile.
Wade Miley has located his fastball inside 56% of the time (330/592) since the 2020 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Wade Miley has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (406/896) on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yu Darvish has allowed an OPS of just .384 (462 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .462 — 91st Percentile.
Yu Darvish has allowed an OBP of just .188 (462 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .220 — 91st Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .158 (70-for-444) against Yu Darvish’s fastball since the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: .263 — 100th Percentile.