The Milwaukee Brewers (+120) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-145) on Saturday, April 15, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in San Diego.

The Padres are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).

The Brewers vs Padres Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

This season, the Brewers are 10-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 7-8 ATS.

Brewers vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Brewers vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 73.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

• William Contreras has hit the Singles Over in his last 9 games (+9.50 Units / 101% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 50% ROI)
• Brian Anderson has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+8.35 Units / 70% ROI)
• Joey Wiemer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.65 Units / 74% ROI)
• Mike Brosseau has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 73% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 16 games (+14.45 Units / 41% ROI)
• Xander Bogaerts has hit the Singles Over in his last 8 games (+8.10 Units / 86% ROI)
• Rougned Odor has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 45% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+6.85 Units / 26% ROI)
• Juan Soto has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 15 games (+6.45 Units / 43% ROI)

Padres vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.20 Units / 54% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.80 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+5.05 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.60 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.15 Units / 21% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 78% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.65 Units / 42% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.20 Units / 14% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.50 Units / 9% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 9-5 against the Run Line (+4.8 Units / 27.75% ROI).

• 10-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.8 Units / 41.21% ROI
• 6-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -3 Units / -19.17% ROI
• 8-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.45 Units / 9.57% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 7-8 against the Run Line (-2.8 Units / -13.63% ROI).

• 7-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.4 Units / -20.05% ROI
• 7-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.05 Units / -12.13% ROI
• 8-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.4 Units / 2.48% ROI

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .092 (45-for-490) against Freddy Peralta with two-strikes since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: .167 — 99th Percentile.

Opponents are hitless in 20 AB’s against Freddy Peralta when ahead in the count this season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .201 — 100th Percentile.

Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 43% (118 SO in 271 PAs) versus the bottom of the order since the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Freddy Peralta has allowed a slugging percentage of just .286 (93 Total Bases / 325 ABs) since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: .399 — 98th Percentile.

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 75% (15/20) against Seth Lugo this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 72% (13/18) against Seth Lugo in two-strike counts this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 96th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 68% (23/34) against Seth Lugo this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.

  
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