The Milwaukee Brewers (+140) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-165) on Friday, April 14, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego.

The Padres are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Brewers vs Padres Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Brewers are 9-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 7-7 ATS.

Brewers vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Brewers vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

• William Contreras has hit the Singles Over in his last 8 games (+8.55 Units / 104% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 52% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 47% ROI)
• Brian Anderson has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 11 games (+7.00 Units / 64% ROI)
• Joey Wiemer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 5 games (+5.30 Units / 67% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+13.45 Units / 41% ROI)
• Austin Nola has hit the Hits Under in his last 6 games (+7.30 Units / 119% ROI)
• Xander Bogaerts has hit the Singles Over in his last 7 games (+7.10 Units / 87% ROI)
• Rougned Odor has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 45% ROI)
• Austin Nola has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 games (+6.80 Units / 92% ROI)

Padres vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.70 Units / 48% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 62% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.80 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+3.65 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.90 Units / 35% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 65% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 82% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 76% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.35 Units / 23% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.10 Units / 20% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 8-5 against the Run Line (+3.8 Units / 23.82% ROI).

• 9-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.3 Units / 34.19% ROI
• 5-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -4 Units / -27.3% ROI
• 8-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.65 Units / 19% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 7-7 against the Run Line (-1.8 Units / -9.21% ROI).

• 7-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.75 Units / -13.55% ROI
• 6-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.05 Units / -19.18% ROI
• 8-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.6 Units / 10.7% ROI

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hitters have swung at 34% of Eric Lauer’s breaking pitches (183/537) since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 0 Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 32% (124/393) against Eric Lauer since last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.

Eric Lauer has a first-pitch strike rate of just 49% (21/43) this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 61% — second Percentile.

Eric Lauer has thrown inside pitches 48% of the time (60/124) in non-two strike counts this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 98th Percentile.

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Michael Wacha has allowed an OBP of just .043 (23 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .254 — 97th Percentile.

Michael Wacha has located his breaking pitches away 77% of the time (13/17) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .148 (4-for-27) against Michael Wacha this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 — 87th Percentile.

  
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