The Milwaukee Brewers (-150) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (+125) on Monday, April 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle.
The Brewers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Brewers vs Mariners Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Brewers are 11-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 8-8 ATS.
Brewers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Brewers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 61.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- William Contreras has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.40 Units / 78% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.75 Units / 51% ROI)
- Joey Wiemer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.65 Units / 60% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.45 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ty France has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+12.05 Units / 75% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 9 games (+9.65 Units / 88% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+8.80 Units / 58% ROI)
Mariners vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Tommy La Stella | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 |
Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Kolten Wong | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
Mariners vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Tommy La Stella | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
Kolten Wong | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -105 |
Mariners vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Tommy La Stella | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
Kolten Wong | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -450 |
Mariners vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Chris Flexen | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
Corbin Burnes | 6.5 -145 | 6.5 +110 |
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+8.75 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.75 Units / 16% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.40 Units / 18% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 10-6 against the Run Line (+4.15 Units / 20.39% ROI).
- 11-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.35 Units / 39.73% ROI
- 7-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.1 Units / -17.42% ROI
- 9-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.3 Units / 7.47% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 8-8 against the Run Line (-0.55 Units / -2.66% ROI).
- 8-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.2 Units / -9.19% ROI
- 8-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.35 Units / 1.97% ROI
- 7-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.8 Units / -10.26% ROI
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 70% of the time (176/251) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 62% of the time (157/251) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
116 of Corbin Burnes’ 257 strikeouts (45%) have come on cutters since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 5% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has thrown low pitches 67% of the time (1,264/1,901) vs left-handed batters since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Flexen has located his fastball away 69% of the time (77/111) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 44% (32/73) against Chris Flexen in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 99th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of 53% (16/30) against Chris Flexen when he’s behind in the count this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.