The Milwaukee Brewers (+165) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-200) on Friday, July 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.
This season, the Brewers are 52-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 43-45 ATS.
Brewers vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Aaron Civale 2-6, 5.07 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Tyler Glasnow 8-5, 3.23 ERA
Brewers vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Brewers vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 59.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brice Turang has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 14 away games (+19.00 Units / 136% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 away games (+13.35 Units / 38% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+12.50 Units / 60% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+11.20 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 21 games (+16.05 Units / 46% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.05 Units / 33% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+13.75 Units / 92% ROI)
- Jason Heyward has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+12.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+12.45 Units / 79% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 88 games (+13.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 51 of their last 88 games (+9.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 84 games (+8.10 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 60 games (+6.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 50 of their last 88 games (+5.59 Units / 5% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+12.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 92% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+4.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games at home (+3.40 Units / 5% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 46-42 against the Run Line (+1.25 Units / 1.08% ROI).
- 52-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.5 Units / 12.25% ROI
- 46-37 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.9 Units / 6.13% ROI
- 37-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.6 Units / -13.97% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 43-45 against the Run Line (-8.05 Units / -7.66% ROI).
- 53-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -11 Units / -6.61% ROI
- 45-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.35 Units / -1.39% ROI
- 42-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.45 Units / -7.68% ROI
Dodgers vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Dodgers vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Miguel Rojas (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Dodgers vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Dodgers vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Civale (MIL) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -115 |
| Tyler Glasnow (LAD) | 7.5 -105 | 7.5 -120 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 27% (30/110) against Aaron Civale this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
The average home run distance against Aaron Civale since the 2022 season is 383.2 feet — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 163 total IP; League Avg: 398.3
Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (68/205) against Aaron Civale on pitches in the strike zone this season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 30% (79/263) against Aaron Civale this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Glasnow has a strikeout rate of 61% (65 SO in 107 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Glasnow has a strikeout rate of 60% (136 SO in 225 PAs) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Glasnow has allowed an OBP of just .184 (152 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .295 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 36% (95/267) against Tyler Glasnow this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.