The Milwaukee Brewers (+135) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-160) on Sunday, September 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Diamondbacks are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Brewers vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Brewers are 68-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 76-53 ATS.
Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Brewers vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today's Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Sunday's matchup with 52.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Brewers and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today
We've highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday's game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jace Peterson has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 20 away games (+15.35 Units / 49% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 away games (+15.05 Units / 48% ROI)
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+12.90 Units / 50% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+11.30 Units / 75% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 26 away games (+10.65 Units / 28% ROI)
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday's game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 45 of his last 93 games (+14.60 Units / 14% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+11.20 Units / 46% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+11.20 Units / 45% ROI)
- Merrill Kelly has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.80 Units / 57% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+10.00 Units / 20% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Brewers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 61 of their last 112 games (+11.55 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 71 games (+0.02 Units / 0% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 54 games (+26.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 75% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 23 of their last 39 games (+6.40 Units / 15% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 53-76 against the Run Line (-29.55 Units / -18.97% ROI).
- 68-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.25 Units / -10.3% ROI
- 63-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.35 Units / -1.65% ROI
- 60-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.3 Units / -5.83% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 76-53 against the Run Line (+20.1 Units / 12.1% ROI).
- 62-67 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.25 Units / 1.55% ROI
- 59-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.3 Units / -8.71% ROI
- 65-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.15 Units / -0.8% ROI
Jason Alexander: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The hardest ball hit off of Jason Alexander was just 105.5 MPH – tied for 9th hardest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 109.4
Zachary Gallen: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed batters are hitting just .151 (39-for-259) against Zac Gallen this season – best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: .233 – 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .190 (98-for-516) against Zac Gallen this season – tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 – 96th Percentile.
Zac Gallen has allowed an OPS of just .564 (570 PA's) this season – 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .669 – 96th Percentile.
Zac Gallen has not allowed a HR in any of his last eight starts dating back to July 22nd – George Kirby has the longest active streak at 9.