Brewers vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 14
Brewers vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 14

The Milwaukee Brewers (+130) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-155) on Saturday, September 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.< /p>

This season, the Brewers are 84-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 76-70 ATS.

Brewers vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Brewers starting pitcher: Tobias Myers 7-5, 2.93 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt 9-8, 4.42 ERA

Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Brewers vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Tobias Myers has hit the Strikeouts Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.15 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Eric Haase has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 away games (+10.10 Units / 202% ROI)
  • Tobias Myers has hit the Earned Runs Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.85 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Eric Haase has hit the Singles Over in his last 7 away games (+9.25 Units / 129% ROI)
  • Eric Haase has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 away games (+8.00 Units / 82% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Randal Grichuk has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+18.00 Units / 225% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 18 games at home (+10.55 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 18 games at home (+10.15 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.45 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Brandon Pfaadt has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 18 of his last 28 games (+7.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 75-71 against the Run Line (+0.45 Units / 0.24% ROI).

  • 84-62 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.25 Units / 5.44% ROI
  • 76-61 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.95 Units / 6.24% ROI
  • 61-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.8 Units / -14.1% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 76-70 against the Run Line (-1.3 Units / -0.67% ROI).

  • 82-64 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.15 Units / 7.69% ROI
  • 84-57 when betting on the total runs Over for +20.7 Units / 12.8% ROI
  • 57-84 when betting on the total runs Under for -35.15 Units / -22.01% ROI

Diamondbacks vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christian Walker (ARI) 0.5 +300 0.5 -400
Eugenio Suarez (ARI) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Joc Pederson (ARI) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Ketel Marte (ARI) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Rhys Hoskins (MIL) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650

Diamondbacks vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Corbin Carroll (ARI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Jake McCarthy (ARI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Ketel Marte (ARI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Brice Turang (MIL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Christian Walker (ARI) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160

Diamondbacks vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christian Walker (ARI) 0.5 +125 0.5 -160
Eugenio Suarez (ARI) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Joc Pederson (ARI) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Willy Adames (MIL) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210

Diamondbacks vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tobias Myers (MIL) 4.5 -105 4.5 -125
Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) 6.5 +130 6.5 -165

Tobias Myers has a strikeout rate of 56% (10 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — best among among NL Starters; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Tobias Myers has a strikeout rate of 56% (10 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .144 (13-for-90) against Tobias Myers with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: .251 — 98th Percentile.

Tobias Myers has allowed an OBP of just .111 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — 97th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Brandon Pfaadt has walked 9 of 252 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 94th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .455 (10-for-22) against Brandon Pfaadt this month (2 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .225 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .284 (25-for-88) against Brandon Pfaadt’s elevated fastball this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .206 — sixth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .280 (66-for-236) against Brandon Pfaadt when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — eighth Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

  
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