The Milwaukee Brewers (-125) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+105) on Tuesday, April 11, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix.

The Brewers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Brewers vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Brewers are 7-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 8-3 ATS.

Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Brewers vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 69.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.

Bet now on Brewers vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM

Get up to $1,000 First Bet Offer

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Kolten Wong has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• Andrew McCutchen has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 100% ROI)
• Omar Narvaez has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 9 games (+3.00 Units / 31% ROI)
• Luis Urias has hit the RBIs Over in 1 of his last 3 away games (+0.10 Units / 3% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Seth Beer has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 40% ROI)
• Carson Kelly has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 94% ROI)
• Jordan Luplow has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 41% ROI)
• Cooper Hummel has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 42% ROI)
• Nick Ahmed has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+2.80 Units / 93% ROI)

Diamondbacks vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.35 Units / 49% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games (+4.15 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+3.40 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 3 of their last 4 games (+2.20 Units / 51% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+7.25 Units / 69% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.50 Units / 64% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 4 games (+4.25 Units / 101% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 3 games (+3.40 Units / 97% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 88% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 6-4 against the Run Line (+3.15 Units / 26.69% ROI).

• 7-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.95 Units / 32.24% ROI
• 4-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.75 Units / -24.12% ROI
• 6-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.85 Units / 17.45% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 8-3 against the Run Line (+5 Units / 35.84% ROI).

• 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.25 Units / 54.59% ROI
• 6-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.5 Units / 12.1% ROI
• 4-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.35 Units / -19.75% ROI

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 60% of the time (321/538) since the 2021 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes located 67% of his pitches down (1,150/1,719) vs left-handed batters in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 63% of the time (154/244) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

114 of Corbin Burnes’ 243 strikeouts (47%) came on cutters in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 5% — 100th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Merrill Kelly has walked 5 of 20 right-handed batters (25%) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

Merrill Kelly has walked 8 of 42 batters (19%) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

Merrill Kelly has a strike rate of just 55% (48/88) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.

  
Read Full Article