The Milwaukee Brewers (-145) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+120) on Thursday, March 30, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago.
The Brewers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Brewers vs Cubs Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
This season, the Brewers are 10-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 14-8 ATS.
Brewers vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Brewers vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 60.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
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Cubs vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| William Contreras | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Cubs vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +140 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -160 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
| William Contreras | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
Cubs vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| William Contreras | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
Cubs vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Burnes | 6.5 -125 | 6.5 -115 |
| Marcus Stroman | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +120 |
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 36 away games (+9.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.95 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 46 of their last 99 games (+5.90 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 26 games (+2.90 Units / 9% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 48 of their last 85 games (+19.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 48 games (+17.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 65 of their last 108 games (+16.55 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games (+16.35 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.00 Units / 53% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 10-13 against the Run Line (-4.7 Units / -16.01% ROI).
- 10-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.6 Units / -16.14% ROI
- 8-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.45 Units / -21.25% ROI
- 12-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.35 Units / 13.35% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 14-8 against the Run Line (+6.35 Units / 22.36% ROI).
- 14-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.1 Units / 17.96% ROI
- 7-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.35 Units / -37.33% ROI
- 15-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.2 Units / 28.18% ROI
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 60% of the time (316/530) since the start of the 2021 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes located his fastball inside 71% of the time (168/236) last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes located 67% of his pitches down (1,150/1,719) vs left-handed batters last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes threw fastballs down 64% of the time (151/236) last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marcus Stroman threw his curveball 40% of the time (431/1,073) against right-handed batters last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 98th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has walked 13 of 246 batters (5%) with runners in scoring position since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 99th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman allowed a slugging percentage of just .246 (32 Total Bases / 130 ABs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning last season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .397 — 96th Percentile.