Brewers vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 23
Brewers vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 23

The Milwaukee Brewers (-120) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+100) on Tuesday, July 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Brewers are 57-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 50-52 ATS.

Brewers vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Brewers starting pitcher: Colin Rea 9-3, 3.77 ERA
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon 7-4, 3.11 ERA

Brewers vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Brewers vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Brice Turang has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 14 away games (+19.00 Units / 136% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 away games (+13.35 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+12.50 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.95 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Brice Turang has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+11.20 Units / 54% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 39 games (+19.05 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 44 games (+14.20 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 14 games at home (+12.60 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Michael Busch has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+12.40 Units / 95% ROI)

  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 53 of their last 96 games (+11.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 58 of their last 100 games (+10.75 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 100 games (+9.50 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 72 games (+6.65 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 56 of their last 100 games (+4.59 Units / 4% ROI)

  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 90 games (+13.70 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 34 games at home (+11.95 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 34 games at home (+10.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+6.20 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.10 Units / 20% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 52-48 against the Run Line (+1.4 Units / 1.07% ROI).

  • 57-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.5 Units / 7.52% ROI
  • 54-41 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.55 Units / 8.75% ROI
  • 41-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.6 Units / -16.79% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 50-52 against the Run Line (-13.55 Units / -9.51% ROI).

  • 49-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.55 Units / -3.7% ROI
  • 43-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.6 Units / -16.54% ROI
  • 56-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +9 Units / 8.03% ROI

Cubs vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christopher Morel (CHC) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Seiya Suzuki (CHC) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Rhys Hoskins (MIL) 0.5 +425 0.5 -650
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Willy Adames (MIL) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650

Cubs vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Seiya Suzuki (CHC) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Sal Frelick (MIL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Willy Adames (MIL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Joey Ortiz (MIL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Jackson Chourio (MIL) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Cubs vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Willy Adames (MIL) 0.5 +110 0.5 -150
Seiya Suzuki (CHC) 0.5 +135 0.5 -185
Christian Yelich (MIL) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Rhys Hoskins (MIL) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190

Cubs vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tobias Myers (MIL) 4.5 -150 4.5 +115
Javier Assad (CHC) 3.5 -110 3.5 -120

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (136/744) against Colin Rea this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.

Colin Rea has struck out just 17% (41/241) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — fifth Percentile.

Colin Rea has a strikeout rate of just 16% (28 SO in 171 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (23/145) against Colin Rea on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jameson Taillon has walked 32 of 701 batters (5%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 92nd Percentile.

Jameson Taillon has allowed three-ball counts to 7% of batters they faced (14/190 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.

Jameson Taillon has walked 13 of 519 right-handed batters (3%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 99th Percentile.

Jameson Taillon has walked 4 of 190 right-handed batters (2%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

  
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