The Milwaukee Brewers (-125) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+105) on Saturday, August 20, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago.
The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Brewers vs Cubs Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Brewers are 62-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 60-58 ATS.
Brewers vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Brewers vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 74.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Cubs vs Brewers and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Cubs vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Franmil Reyes | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -375 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Nick Madrigal | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Cubs vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +100 |
| Franmil Reyes | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Nick Madrigal | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -250 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
Cubs vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Franmil Reyes | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -165 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Nick Madrigal | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
Cubs vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcus Stroman | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 -105 |
| Freddy Peralta | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +100 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Brewers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 47-70 against the Run Line (-29.2 Units / -20.56% ROI).
- 62-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.4 Units / -10.99% ROI
- 58-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.15 Units / 0.12% ROI
- 53-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.85 Units / -7.64% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 60-58 against the Run Line (-6.35 Units / -4.18% ROI).
- 51-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.05 Units / -10.39% ROI
- 51-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.6 Units / -11.26% ROI
- 60-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.15 Units / 3.18% ROI
Freddy Peralta: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Freddy Peralta has allowed a slugging percentage of just .103 (7 Total Bases / 68 ABs) on low fastballs since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: .425 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .178 (125-for-702) against Freddy Peralta since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 100th Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has allowed a slugging percentage of just .237 (109 Total Bases / 460 ABs) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: .386 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .138 (26-for-188) against Freddy Peralta when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 100th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 65% (31/48) against Marcus Stroman this month (3 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has walked 10 of 207 batters (5%) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 35% (18/51) against Marcus Stroman with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has thrown his curveball 37% of the time (717/1,958) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 98th Percentile.