Brewers vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug. 22
Brewers vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug. 22

The Milwaukee Brewers (-120) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+100) on Thursday, August 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.

This season, the Brewers are 73-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 62-64 ATS.

Brewers vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 8-7, 4.02 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 8-10, 5.43 ERA

Brewers vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Brewers vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 55.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • William Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 36 games (+16.50 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 43 games (+15.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Brice Turang has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 36 games (+15.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Jackson Chourio has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 45 games (+14.45 Units / 31% ROI)
  • William Contreras has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 18 games (+13.30 Units / 74% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 17 games at home (+27.50 Units / 162% ROI)
  • Pedro Pages has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+15.70 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Brendan Donovan has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+14.70 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Pedro Pages has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+14.15 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Pedro Pages has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+12.00 Units / 33% ROI)

  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 67 of their last 122 games (+14.95 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 126 games (+13.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 71 of their last 126 games (+9.60 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 53 of their last 98 games (+6.80 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.95 Units / 50% ROI)

  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 56 games (+7.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.70 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 46 games at home (+4.80 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games at home (+0.45 Units / 4% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 66-60 against the Run Line (+1.55 Units / 0.92% ROI).

  • 73-53 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.5 Units / 8.52% ROI
  • 68-51 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.75 Units / 9.27% ROI
  • 51-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -24.05 Units / -17.22% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 62-64 against the Run Line (-7.25 Units / -4.28% ROI).

  • 62-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.8 Units / -9.03% ROI
  • 60-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.5 Units / -5.46% ROI
  • 61-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.3 Units / -3.85% ROI

Cardinals vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Rhys Hoskins (MIL) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Willy Adames (MIL) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Willson Contreras (STL) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700

Cardinals vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Masyn Winn (STL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Willy Adames (MIL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Brendan Donovan (STL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Sal Frelick (MIL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Rhys Hoskins (MIL) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160

Cardinals vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 +115 0.5 -155
Willy Adames (MIL) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Jackson Chourio (MIL) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Rhys Hoskins (MIL) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250

Cardinals vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Miles Mikolas (STL) 4.5 +115 4.5 -155

Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 30% (150 SO in 494 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Freddy Peralta has a strike rate of just 61% (1,468/2,391) this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — sixth Percentile.

Freddy Peralta has a strike rate of just 59% (463/786) in two strike counts this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — fifth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .212 (95-for-448) against Freddy Peralta when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — 96th Percentile.

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .315 (68-for-216) against Miles Mikolas when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — first Percentile.

Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .569 (123 Total Bases / 216 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .384 — first Percentile.

Miles Mikolas has a strikeout rate of just 15% (81 SO in 522 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.

Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .523 (78 Total Bases / 149 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .304 — second Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

  
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