The Milwaukee Brewers (+120) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-145) on Thursday, August 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 12:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Brewers are 64-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 50-63 ATS.

Brewers vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

• Brewers starting pitcher: Frankie Montas 5-8, 5.04 ERA
• Braves starting pitcher: Charlie Morton 6-6, 4.01 ERA

Brewers vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Brewers vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jackson Chourio has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 32 games (+16.30 Units / 49% ROI)
• Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+14.65 Units / 39% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+14.30 Units / 59% ROI)
• Jackson Chourio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 23 of his last 32 games (+13.80 Units / 35% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 23 games (+12.55 Units / 33% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Orlando Arcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+19.20 Units / 192% ROI)
• Jarred Kelenic has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 31 games (+14.25 Units / 33% ROI)
• Eddie Rosario has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 31 games (+13.55 Units / 35% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 44 games (+12.30 Units / 20% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 44 games (+12.10 Units / 28% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 61 of their last 109 games (+15.45 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 64 of their last 113 games (+8.55 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 85 games (+7.20 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 63 of their last 113 games (+7.00 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.40 Units / 20% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 64 of their last 99 games (+29.55 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.75 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 8 games (+0.65 Units / 7% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 59-54 against the Run Line (+1.95 Units / 1.31% ROI).

• 64-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.55 Units / 5.96% ROI
• 62-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +13.25 Units / 10.75% ROI
• 45-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -23.5 Units / -18.76% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 50-63 against the Run Line (-15.1 Units / -11.29% ROI).

• 60-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.45 Units / -11.59% ROI
• 41-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -32 Units / -25.92% ROI
• 67-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +21.7 Units / 17.32% ROI

Braves vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Frankie Montas has allowed a slugging percentage of .653 (32 Total Bases / 49 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: .405 — fourth Percentile.

The average home run distance against Frankie Montas this season is 382.3 feet — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 398.1

Frankie Montas has walked 22 of 174 batters (13%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.

Frankie Montas has allowed an OPS of .910 (119 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: .650 — 0 Percentile.

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Charlie Morton has walked 71 of 725 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — fourth Percentile.

Charlie Morton has walked 71 of 715 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — eighth Percentile.

Charlie Morton has walked 46 of 440 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — sixth Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 33% of the time (560/1,717) when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 174 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 97th Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

  
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