Brewers vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug. 7
Brewers vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug. 7

The Milwaukee Brewers (+135) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-160) on Wednesday, August 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Brewers are 63-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 50-62 ATS.

Brewers vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 6-6, 3.91 ERA
  • Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 13-3, 2.73 ERA

Brewers vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Brewers vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • William Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+15.35 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Jackson Chourio has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 31 games (+15.10 Units / 47% ROI)
  • William Contreras has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 22 games (+13.55 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 29 games (+13.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Jackson Chourio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 22 of his last 31 games (+12.80 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Orlando Arcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+20.20 Units / 224% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 30 of his last 43 games (+13.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the RBIs Under in 34 of his last 44 games (+13.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Jarred Kelenic has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+13.25 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 43 games (+13.10 Units / 30% ROI)

  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 60 of their last 108 games (+14.45 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 63 of their last 112 games (+8.05 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 63 of their last 112 games (+7.25 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 84 games (+6.20 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 30% ROI)

  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 64 of their last 98 games (+30.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.65 Units / 21% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 58-54 against the Run Line (+0.95 Units / 0.64% ROI).

  • 63-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.25 Units / 5.09% ROI
  • 61-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.25 Units / 10.02% ROI
  • 45-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.4 Units / -18.04% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 50-62 against the Run Line (-14.1 Units / -10.62% ROI).

  • 60-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.95 Units / -10.87% ROI
  • 40-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -33 Units / -26.97% ROI
  • 67-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +22.8 Units / 18.36% ROI

Braves vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) 0.5 +250 0.5 -350
Austin Riley (ATL) 0.5 +340 0.5 -450
Jorge Soler (ATL) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Sean Murphy (ATL) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Gary Sanchez (MIL) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600

Braves vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jackson Chourio (MIL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Austin Riley (ATL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Jorge Soler (ATL) 0.5 -185 0.5 +140

Braves vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) 0.5 +135 0.5 -185
Austin Riley (ATL) 0.5 +160 0.5 -225
Gary Sanchez (MIL) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Jorge Soler (ATL) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Sean Murphy (ATL) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250

Braves vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Freddy Peralta (MIL) 5.5 -160 5.5 +120

Freddy Peralta has walked 7 of 22 left-handed batters (32%) in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .203 (86-for-423) against Freddy Peralta when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 100th Percentile.

Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 31% (145 SO in 467 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Freddy Peralta has a strike rate of just 59% (418/713) in two strike counts this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — fourth Percentile.

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Chris Sale has allowed a slugging percentage of just .203 (55 Total Bases / 271 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .357 — 100th Percentile.

Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 35% (63 SO in 180 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

22 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.

Chris Sale has allowed an OPS of just .478 (180 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .666 — 100th Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

  
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