The Milwaukee Brewers (+120) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-140) on Tuesday, August 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Brewers are 62-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 50-61 ATS.

Brewers vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

• Brewers starting pitcher: Colin Rea 9-3, 3.59 ERA
• Braves starting pitcher: Bryce Elder 2-4, 5.76 ERA

Brewers vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Brewers vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

• William Contreras has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+14.55 Units / 40% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+14.35 Units / 66% ROI)
• Jackson Chourio has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 30 games (+13.90 Units / 44% ROI)
• Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+12.10 Units / 34% ROI)
• Jackson Chourio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 30 games (+11.80 Units / 33% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Orlando Arcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+21.20 Units / 265% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 30 of his last 42 games (+15.25 Units / 26% ROI)
• Jarred Kelenic has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 29 games (+15.05 Units / 38% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 42 games (+14.10 Units / 34% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the RBIs Under in 33 of his last 43 games (+12.65 Units / 15% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 59 of their last 107 games (+13.45 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 62 of their last 111 games (+7.05 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 62 of their last 111 games (+6.10 Units / 4% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.40 Units / 32% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 64 of their last 97 games (+31.75 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.65 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+0.15 Units / 1% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 57-54 against the Run Line (-0.05 Units / -0.03% ROI).

• 62-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.1 Units / 4.31% ROI
• 60-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.25 Units / 9.29% ROI
• 45-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.3 Units / -17.3% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 50-61 against the Run Line (-13.1 Units / -9.94% ROI).

• 60-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.6 Units / -10.21% ROI
• 39-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -34 Units / -28.04% ROI
• 67-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +23.9 Units / 19.42% ROI

Braves vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .068 (5-for-73) against Colin Rea on sliders this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: .220 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (159/822) against Colin Rea this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 23% (200/863) against Colin Rea this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — first Percentile.

Colin Rea has a strike rate of just 62% (322/521) in two strike counts this season — 10th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 15th Percentile.

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Bryce Elder has struck out just 14% (86/595) of left-handed batters he faced since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 174 total IP; League Avg: 22% — fifth Percentile.

Bryce Elder has struck out just 14% (71/492) of left-handed batters he faced since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 57% (220/387) against Bryce Elder since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 174 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 58% (181/311) against Bryce Elder since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

  
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