The Milwaukee Brewers (+125) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-150) on Saturday, May 18, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.

This season, the Brewers are 26-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 19-26 ATS.

Brewers vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

• Brewers starting pitcher: Bryse Wilson 2-1, 2.65 ERA
• Astros starting pitcher: Justin Verlander 2-1, 3.42 ERA

Brewers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Brewers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 55.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Joseph Ortiz has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+25.70 Units / 321% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 30 of his last 39 games (+18.85 Units / 37% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 23 away games (+15.05 Units / 65% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 40 games (+14.40 Units / 19% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 38 games (+11.85 Units / 30% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Under in 26 of his last 43 games (+22.25 Units / 40% ROI)
• Kyle Tucker has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 18 games (+18.75 Units / 104% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 23 games at home (+17.20 Units / 45% ROI)
• Kyle Tucker has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 43 games (+15.40 Units / 34% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 29 of his last 43 games (+14.30 Units / 28% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.80 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 44 games (+7.80 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 44 games (+7.15 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.40 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.90 Units / 45% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+10.10 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.60 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.25 Units / 53% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 28 games (+7.15 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 74% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 23-21 against the Run Line (-0.85 Units / -1.39% ROI).

• 26-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.8 Units / 15.12% ROI
• 27-17 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.6 Units / 17.81% ROI
• 17-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.5 Units / -25.77% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 19-26 against the Run Line (-7 Units / -12.89% ROI).

• 20-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.6 Units / -18.56% ROI
• 17-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.2 Units / -20.73% ROI
• 25-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.3 Units / 12.64% ROI

Astros vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% (157/807) against Bryse Wilson since last season — 3rd lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 28% — third Percentile.

Bryse Wilson has allowed an OBP of just .224 (107 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .329 — 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (38/215) against Bryse Wilson with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 28% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% (157/807) against Bryse Wilson since last season — tied for 9th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 28% — fifth Percentile.

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 4% (1/23) against Justin Verlander over the last 14 days — lowest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 39% — second Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 4% (1/23) against Justin Verlander — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 41% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 11% (4/35) against Justin Verlander over the last 14 days — lowest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.

Justin Verlander has thrown elevated pitches 41% of the time (484/1,173) when behind in the count since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

  
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