Brazil's quest for a tenth Copa America title kicks off on Monday against a Costa Rica side ranking 52 in the world. Read on for our best Brazil vs. Costa Rica predictions based on the odds from our best soccer betting sites.
Brazil are unbeaten in 2024 (W2 D2) and haven't lost to CONCACAF opponents at the Copa America since 2007. However, they've struggled defensively recently, keeping only two clean sheets in the last ten games.
Costa Rica have played Brazil twice in the competition, losing 5-0 and 4-1. However, the Costa Ricans have an impressive recent record against CONMEBOL teams in the tournament, losing just one of their last four matches.
But will they have enough to put up a fight against a team led by Vinicius Junior, Endrick and Rodrygo?
Brazil vs. Costa Rica predictions for Monday
- Final score: Brazil 3 – Costa R ica 0 (+575 via BetMGM)
- Vinicius Junior anytime goal scorer (+120 via DraftKings)
- Best bet: Brazil win and Over 2.5 goals (-172 via BetMGM)
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Brazil vs. Costa Rica score prediction
Brazil have reached the final in the last two Copa Americas. The Costa Ricans enter this competition in fine form, beating Grenada 3-0 and St. Kitts and Nevis 4-0. With all due respect to those countries, they're not at the level of Brazil, the world's fourth-best team. Costa Rica shipped six goals in back-to-back matches against Panama in the CONCACAF Nations League last fall, while Brazil is averaging 1.6 goals per game in their previous 10 matches.
Costa Rica have conceded 1.5 goals per game in the last 10. Experience is going to be key in Monday's contest. Costa Rica has no player in any of Europe's top five leagues, while Brazil is riddled with talent. Even Casemiro couldn't make the squad. This game is a mismatch on paper and will transpire that way on the pitch. Don't expect a giant-killing. At +575, BetMGM's odds represent a 14.8% probability. A $10 bet pays a profit of $57.50 if it hits.
Best odds: +575 via BetMGM
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Brazil vs. Costa Rica anytime goal scorer prediction
Vini is a leading contender to win this year's Ballon d'Or. The forward scored 15 goals and made four assists in 29 La Liga appearances for Real Madrid this season. His record in the Champions League was equally impressive, with six goals and five assists in 10 games. The 23-year-old is a player for the big occasion, and the Copa is a platform for him to cement his status as the best in the world. He has not scored for Brazil this calendar year, but he's coming up against a Costa Rica side that has shipped 15 goals in their last 10 matches.
In March, the Costa Ricans were beaten 3-1 by Argentina. They faced 21 shots in that game, and the world champions had an xG of 2.83. Vinicius Junior is one of Brazil's primary players in attack. He will get his chances against a team that is arguably the weakest in Group D. DraftKings' +120 odds imply a 45. 5% probability and a $10 wager pays a profit of $12 if Vini scores.
Best odds: +120 via DraftKings
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Brazil vs. Costa Rica best bet
Both defenses suggest we will be treated to goals. In their past six games in all competitions, Brazil have scored eight and conceded seven goals, while Costa Rica scored 11 and conceded nine. The South Americans have a 10-1 record in the 11 previous matches between these nations and have won each of the last nine.
Brazil are unbeaten in seven straight Copa America group stage matches. Last September, the Costa Ricans were beaten 4-1 by the UAE. Since then, they struggled against Panama and Argentina. Brazil will have no difficulty picking them apart and should make light work of the tilt. The odds imply a 63.3% probability, and a $10 bet will pay a profit of $5.81 if it hits.
Best odds: -172 via BetMGM
Brazil vs. Costa Rica game info
- When: Monday, June 24 (9 p.m ET)
- Where: SoFi S tadium (Inglewood, Calif.)
- How to watch: Fox Sports (U.S.), TSN (Canada)
- Favorite: Brazil (-600 via BetMGM)
Brazil-Costa Rica predictions made Sunday at 2 p.m. ET.
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