The Atlanta Braves (-120) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (+100) on Friday, June 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Braves are 41-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 45-32 ATS.
Braves vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 9-2, 2.99 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 9-3, 3.06 ERA
Braves vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Braves vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Braves vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM
$1500 First Bet Offer
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 26 games (+18.20 Units / 38% ROI)
- Adam Duvall has hit the Total Bases Under in 30 of his last 41 games (+17.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Under in 36 of his last 47 games (+16.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- Adam Duvall has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 28 of his last 40 games (+15.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Singles Under in 32 of his last 47 games (+13.30 Units / 22% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Trevino has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+21.70 Units / 434% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 34 of his last 42 games (+21.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 42 games (+17.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 30 of his last 42 games (+17.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 41 games (+12.60 Units / 27% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 58 games (+22.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 31 away games (+13.04 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 away games (+9.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+2.05 Units / 25% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 43 games (+22.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 43 games (+20.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 37 of their last 54 games (+18.49 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 31 of their last 46 games (+16.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 77 games (+14.05 Units / 12% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 34-38 against the Run Line (-4.2 Units / -5.05% ROI).
- 41-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.35 Units / -6.64% ROI
- 26-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.65 Units / -26.27% ROI
- 43-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.45 Units / 18.09% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 45-32 against the Run Line (+18.3 Units / 19.98% ROI).
- 51-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.05 Units / 12.37% ROI
- 37-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.85 Units / -5.72% ROI
- 38-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.6 Units / -3.07% ROI
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
17 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale has a first-pitch strike rate of 70% (227/323) this season — tied for 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 32% (199/626) against Chris Sale this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 93rd Percentile.
Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 45% (63 SO in 141 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 94th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .615 (16-for-26) against Carlos Rodon in late innings since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 93 total IP; League Avg: .238 — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 33% (66/200) against Carlos Rodon this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — fifth Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 47% (44 SO in 93 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 98th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of just 16% (13 SO in 83 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 10th Percentile.