The Atlanta Braves (-300) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+240) on Thursday, June 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Braves are 44-34 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 36-46 ATS.
Braves vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 10-2, 2.92 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Braves vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Braves vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 72.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 16 away games (+20.30 Units / 127% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 30 games (+19.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Singles Under in 35 of his last 50 games (+16.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Under in 38 of his last 50 games (+16.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- Charlie Morton has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.65 Units / 55% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+17.00 Units / 170% ROI)
- Lenyn Sosa has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+11.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+10.15 Units / 40% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 64 games (+22.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 37 away games (+11.94 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 away games (+11.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 13 games (+2.80 Units / 19% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.65 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 36 games (+5.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 22 games (+0.65 Units / 2% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 37-41 against the Run Line (-3.45 Units / -3.84% ROI).
- 44-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.85 Units / -6.67% ROI
- 29-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.1 Units / -24.72% ROI
- 46-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.15 Units / 16.39% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 36-46 against the Run Line (-16 Units / -16.09% ROI).
- 21-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -31.7 Units / -38.52% ROI
- 36-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.3 Units / -11.46% ROI
- 42-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.05 Units / 3.45% ROI
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
17 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale has allowed a slugging percentage of just .196 (38 Total Bases / 194 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .348 — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 31% (107 SO in 341 PAs) this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 94th Percentile.
Chris Sale has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.7 MPH this season (208 balls in play) — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.8
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Drew Thorpe had a strike rate of just 50% (47/94) — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.
Drew Thorpe has a strike rate of just 50% (47/94) over the past seven days (1 games) — lowest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 66% — second Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 33% of Drew Thorpe’s pitches (31/94) over the past seven days (1 games) — lowest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 49% — second Percentile.
Drew Thorpe has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 35% (6/17) of opposing batters over the past seven days (1 games) — lowest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 68% — second Percentile.