The Atlanta Braves (-145) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+120) on Saturday, April 15, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Kansas City.

The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).

The Braves vs Royals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Braves are 10-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 4-10 ATS.

Braves vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Braves vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 63.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

• Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+7.10 Units / 42% ROI)
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+6.65 Units / 40% ROI)
• Austin Riley has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.45 Units / 44% ROI)
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+6.35 Units / 42% ROI)
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+6.15 Units / 123% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 52% ROI)
• Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 46% ROI)
• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Over in his last 4 games (+6.00 Units / 100% ROI)
• Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 7 games at home (+5.75 Units / 66% ROI)
• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.25 Units / 61% ROI)

Royals vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.60 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.55 Units / 59% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.20 Units / 58% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 92% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.75 Units / 44% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 77% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.85 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 games (+0.50 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 games (+0.45 Units / 6% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 6-8 against the Run Line (-1.9 Units / -11.28% ROI).

• 10-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.7 Units / 19.83% ROI
• 8-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.3 Units / 8.47% ROI
• 6-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.95 Units / -19.09% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 4-10 against the Run Line (-8.15 Units / -45.66% ROI).

• 4-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.35 Units / -31.07% ROI
• 8-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.35 Units / 8.71% ROI
• 6-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.75 Units / -17.97% ROI

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .115 (3-for-26) against Bryce Elder’s non-fastballs this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .224 — 90th Percentile.

Bryce Elder has an ERA of 0.00 (12.1 IP) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 4.12 — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting just .143 (3-for-21) against Bryce Elder this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — 87th Percentile.

12 of Bryce Elder’s 13 strikeouts (92%) have come on non-fastballs this season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 54% — 100th Percentile.

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

5 of Kris Bubic’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of 48% (20/42) against Kris Bubic on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Kris Bubic has not allowed a HR in any of his last five starts dating back to September 18th, 2022 — John Brebbia has the longest active streak at 11.

  
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